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Figure 46 PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet PDA name: Alameda -- Naval Air Station Version: Baseline # Readiness Criteria Category # Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012) PDA Development Readiness Scoring 2020 2030 2040 Notes A PDA Housing Capacity Estimate 1 Estimate of current local land use policy new housing capacity 1,935 1225 net new DUs at AP Reuse Plan (25% affordable in addition to 200 Collaborative existing units), Alameda Landing has 275 DUs planned, "North Housing" has 435 DUs planned (some aff hsg), Bayport has 586 already built; 2.575M new office/flex, 2.6M reuse (mostly industrial), 200K retail, 120K comm'l recreation (Bladium) A-136 2 Plan Bay Area new housing allocation 3 Capacity surplus or (shortfall) (2,075) 4 Estimated increased capacity through likely changes to land use policy, including any initiative-based density restrictions (percentage change to existing capacity) 25% 75% 125% 4,010 The increment of new housing allocated to the PDA in Plan Bay Area Difference between estimated housing capacity (2012) and allocation City has conducted technical explorations of increased density at Alameda Point, but has not amended the current plans. Increase in density would require additional payments to the Navy for acquisition of the land. On North Housing site, a multifamily overlay has been adopted that could increase unit count suggested above. EPS has assumed City would plan for significant density increase at some point prior to 2040. 5 Estimated gross housing capacity at each period 2,419 3,386 4,354 6 Sum of Capacity Constraint Coefficients 0.60 0.50 0.55 Primarily driven by infrastructure capacity and costs, for which few resources are currently known to be available. 7 EPS estimate of housing production given constraints 968 1,693 1,959 Early years assume buildout of Alameda Landing and North housing sites, plus limited development at Alameda Point 8 Current planned capacity well below SCS allocation and feasibility constraint related to infrastructure are the major limiting factors. Percentage of PDA 2040 housing allocation accommodated 24.1% 42.2% 48.9% Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 1 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513
Figure 46 PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet PDA name: Alameda -- Naval Air Station Version: Baseline # Readiness Criteria Category # Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012) PDA Development Readiness Scoring 2020 2030 2040 Notes B Planning and Entitlement Criteria 1 Displacement of existing stable residential neighborhoods 0.00 0.00 0.00 None required A-137 2 Time required and difficulty in obtaining entitlement: institutional capacity and jurisdictional track record 0.10 0.05 0.05 Entitlement is subject to continued planning and significant environmental concerns (esp. traffic), as well as coordination among City, developers, Navy, and other potential stakeholders. City has been actively engaged in planning this area for over a decade, but has been delayed by Navy clean-up and business negotiations, market conditions, infrastructure issues, community concerns, etc. Entitlement for SCS JHC densities would require a ballot initiative or other circumvention of Measure A prohibition on multifamily development. C Community Support 1 Elected official support for proposed PDA use types and densities during past 3 years 0.00 0.00 0.00 Council has supported designation of this PDA and has shown commitment to supporting economic development in this area; few official actions that have been relevant to required housing densities in PDA due to Measure A restrictions 2 History of neighborhood opposition 0.05 0.00 0.00 Mixed reaction in community; some Measure A supporters and others concerned about traffic impacts, while other groups support intensification of Reuse Plan to meet City's housing needs; a ballot measure by former master developer (SunCal) to increase densities was soundly defeated Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 2 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513
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Draft March 2013 Strategy for a Sus
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Final Report PDA Readiness Assessme
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1. REPORT SUMMARY AND FINDINGS Plan
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Table 1 Summary of PDA Readiness As
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PDA Readiness Assessment Final Repo
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2. STUDY BACKGROUND Over the past s
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3. PDA DEVELOPMENT READINESS ASSESS
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Table 2 Capacity Assessment for Sel
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Table 3 PDA Readiness Criteria Work
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Table 3 PDA Readiness Criteria Work
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5. POLICY ACTIONS TO IMPROVE DEVELO
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A-1 Units 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,0
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Figure 2 PDA Readiness Criteria Wor
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7,000 6,000 5,000 Figure 9: Redwood
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Figure 10 PDA Readiness Criteria Wo
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3,000 2,500 Figure 21: San Mateo El
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