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Strategy for a Sustainable Region Priority ... - One Bay Area

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Figure 2<br />

PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet<br />

PDA name: Central Fremont TASP PDA Version: Baseline<br />

#<br />

Readiness<br />

Criteria Category<br />

# Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012)<br />

PDA Development Readiness Scoring<br />

2020 2030 2040 Notes<br />

A<br />

PDA Housing<br />

Capacity<br />

Estimate<br />

1 Estimate of current local land use<br />

policy new housing capacity<br />

7,943<br />

See "Capacity Assessment for Selected Priority Development Areas"<br />

2 Plan Bay Area new housing allocation<br />

3 Capacity surplus or (shortfall) 5,043<br />

2,900<br />

The increment of new housing allocated to the PDA in Plan Bay Area<br />

Difference between estimated housing capacity (2012) and allocation<br />

A-2<br />

4 Estimated increased capacity through<br />

likely changes to land use policy,<br />

including any initiative-based density<br />

restrictions (percentage change to<br />

existing capacity) 0% 0% 0%<br />

There appears to be substantial residential development capacity in<br />

Central Fremont thus there is no need to alter use or density policies.<br />

In fact, raw capacity exceeds the Plan Bay Area allocation.<br />

5 Estimated gross housing capacity<br />

at each period 7,943 7,943 7,943<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

Sum of Capacity Constraint<br />

Coefficients<br />

EPS estimate of housing<br />

production given constraints<br />

Percentage of PDA 2040 housing<br />

allocation accommodated<br />

0.90 0.70 0.60<br />

794 2,383 3,177<br />

27.4% 82.2% 109.6%<br />

Summary<br />

Fremont downtown has substantial physical and policy capacity to accommodate multifamily and mixed use development that exceeds the<br />

Plan Bay Area substantially. However, utilizing this capacity will require substantial infrastructure investments given current deficiencies and<br />

service demands of the new development including structured parking, schools, transit improvements (buses), and a range of roadway<br />

improvements.<br />

Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 1 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\WK_Readiness Assessments\All_WK_Sample032513

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