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Strategy for a Sustainable Region Priority ... - One Bay Area
Strategy for a Sustainable Region Priority ... - One Bay Area
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Figure 53<br />
PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet<br />
PDA name: Oakland Coliseum Version: Amended<br />
#<br />
Readiness<br />
Criteria Category<br />
# Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012)<br />
PDA Development Readiness Scoring<br />
2020 2030 2040 Notes<br />
A<br />
PDA Housing<br />
Capacity<br />
Estimate<br />
1 Estimate of current local land use policy<br />
new housing capacity<br />
11,194<br />
CD+A identified 240 acres of potentially developable land, with<br />
average allowances of roughly 45 DU/acre.<br />
A-158<br />
2 Plan Bay Area new housing allocation<br />
3 Capacity surplus or (shortfall) 4,349<br />
4 Estimated increased capacity through<br />
likely changes to land use policy,<br />
including any initiative-based density<br />
restrictions (percentage change to<br />
existing capacity) 0% 0% 0%<br />
6,845<br />
The increment of new housing allocated to the PDA in Plan Bay<br />
Area<br />
Difference between estimated housing capacity (2012) and<br />
allocation<br />
Capacity figure already assumes 1/3 of sports complex site would be<br />
available for housing development. Coliseum City Specific Plan and<br />
EIR underway, should be completed in next several years.<br />
5 Estimated gross housing capacity<br />
at each period 11,194 11,194 11,194<br />
6<br />
Sum of Capacity Constraint<br />
Coefficients<br />
0.85 0.75 0.65<br />
Despite City's best efforts, there is very little evidence of marketsupported<br />
development in this area, persistent deterrents to market<br />
attraction, and infrastructure capacity/funding issues.<br />
7<br />
EPS estimate of housing production<br />
given constraints<br />
1,679 2,799 3,918<br />
Roughly consistent with pace of new housing from 2000-2010,<br />
though that was virtually all subsidized affordable housing.<br />
8<br />
Percentage of PDA 2040 housing<br />
allocation accommodated<br />
24.5% 40.9% 57.2%<br />
Little evidence of developer interest in market-rate housing in this<br />
area, and persistent urban problems are expected to be a long-term<br />
challenge. Amended scenario assumes that Redevelopment powers<br />
are re-established to improve infrastructure and subsidize vertical<br />
development.<br />
Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 1 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513