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Research Journal of Social Science & Management - RJSSM - The ...
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In phase 6, the validation will be conducted to<br />
assess the efficiency, the practicality and reliability <strong>of</strong> the<br />
program and identify areas for further improvement.<br />
FRAUD DETERRENCE MODEL<br />
Identification <strong>of</strong> the risk factors causing fraudulent<br />
activities in the organization in Thailand was carried out<br />
using a quantitative research which represented the attitude<br />
<strong>of</strong> the participants in the survey. However, it cannot be<br />
concluded that a person displaying such characteristics will<br />
commit fraud. Hence, the association rule is more<br />
appropriate to be used to find out the important rules for<br />
fraud potential to occur in association with each fraud risk<br />
factor [19] [20] [28] [30] [32].<br />
POTENTIAL FRAUD RISK BEHAVIORS<br />
Apriori algorithm in association rule is selected to<br />
find out the potential fraud rules. The samples <strong>of</strong> 14 strong<br />
rules to be used in fraud deterrence model are shown in<br />
<strong>Table</strong> 3.<br />
Risk factor<br />
Fraud risk behaviors<br />
<strong>Table</strong> 3: 14 best rules for fraud deterrence model<br />
Probability to<br />
occur fraud<br />
Wheeler-dealer attitude Living beyond means and financial difficulties 0.98<br />
Living beyond means, financial difficulties and past legal problems 0.98<br />
Living beyond means and past legal problems 0.96<br />
Past legal problems and refusal to take vacations 0.88<br />
Financial difficulties and refusal to take vacations 0.87<br />
Financial difficulties Living beyond means, wheeler-dealer attitude and past legal problems 0.96<br />
Borrow money from coworkers, wheeler-dealer attitude and past legal problems 0.96<br />
Borrow money from coworkers and wheeler-dealer attitude 0.94<br />
Living beyond means and past legal problems 0.94<br />
Borrow money from coworkers and past legal problems 0.92<br />
Wheeler-dealer attitude and past legal problems 0.92<br />
Past legal problems and refusal to take vacations 0.90<br />
Living beyond means and wheeler-dealer attitude 0.89<br />
Living beyond means Financial difficulties, wheeler-dealer attitude and past legal problems 0.86<br />
From table 3, it seems that “wheeler-dealer attitude”,<br />
“financial difficulties” and “living beyond means” are the<br />
three key risk factors for a person to potentially commit<br />
fraud. However, most people do not want to be a fraudster<br />
unless they are in a difficult situation where they are under a<br />
lot <strong>of</strong> pressure and there seems to be no solution for them.<br />
For a person to commit fraud, there are usually more than<br />
one risk factor involved. For example, an individual who<br />
overspends more than he could earn may not commit a<br />
fraud. An individual who overspends and has financial<br />
difficulty has 98% chances to commit fraud. Nonetheless,<br />
fraud can be committed if there is an opportunity and<br />
rationalization.<br />
SUMMARY OF FRAUD DETERRENCE SYSTEM<br />
This model will be used to develop a fraud<br />
deterrence system - a tool to predict a potential fraud in the<br />
organization. However, it is not easy for staff in the<br />
company to fill in the form and admit that they are prone to<br />
commit fraud in the organization.<br />
Therefore, forensic accountant is needed to conduct<br />
a further investigation on staff who are indicated by the<br />
system that they may potentially commit fraud i.e. staff who<br />
responded that they have 0% or less than 10% <strong>of</strong> fraud risk<br />
behaviors.<br />
Forensic accountant will use the personal financial<br />
information filled in by staff to check against those<br />
questions in the attitude and behavior form. A forensic<br />
accountant will also check the financial information <strong>of</strong> that<br />
staff with National Credit Bureau Co.,Ltd. to ensure the<br />
accuracy and reliability <strong>of</strong> the information especially if the<br />
staff is at the management level to prevent the white collar<br />
crime cases. If needed, forensic accountant may check staff<br />
records via Office <strong>of</strong> the National Anti-Corruption Commission<br />
and/or Crime Suppression Division, Royal Thai Police.<br />
Human Resources Department should check the<br />
records <strong>of</strong> the staff with their former companies by sampling<br />
two to three sources to ensure that the persons do not have<br />
bad records regarding legal or performance issues with the<br />
previous employers and forward them to the forensic<br />
accountant to be used as supporting evidences.<br />
The purpose <strong>of</strong> the fraud deterrence system is to<br />
alert or provide an early warning to the owner <strong>of</strong> the<br />
businesses to be aware <strong>of</strong> the potential fraud. It is a tool to<br />
indicate potential frauds in the organization, but it cannot<br />
confirm that an individual will be a fraudster. Further<br />
investigation should be done by forensic accountant as<br />
mentioned to validate the case. If a fraudster has a motivation<br />
to commit fraud, without an opportunity, fraud cannot be<br />
committed. Therefore, risk management should also be<br />
developed and implemented in the firm to deter the fraud<br />
activities apart from the fraud deterrence system.<br />
CONCLUSION<br />
The risk factors causing fraudulent activities in the<br />
organization in Thailand are identified from the qualitative<br />
and quantitative researches. The association rule is used to<br />
capture the fraud risk behaviors <strong>of</strong> each risk factor. The<br />
significant rules which state the high probability to occur<br />
fraud activities are selected to be used as fraud deterrence<br />
model.<br />
The fraud deterrence system will be developed and<br />
implemented using the fraud deterrence model as criteria to<br />
measure potential frauds in the organization. The forensic<br />
accountant will further investigate to ensure the correctness<br />
<strong>of</strong> potential frauds.<br />
Fraud deterrence system using forensic accounting<br />
and data mining techniques will be a tool to assist the owner<br />
<strong>of</strong> businesses to prevent the fraudulent activities by identifying<br />
the potential frauds in the organization in a timely manner.<br />
It will also be an instrument to minimize the loss from<br />
fraudulent activities and improve the savings.<br />
LIMITATION OF RESEARCH<br />
This research does not cover specific business risk<br />
for each type <strong>of</strong> business. Samples <strong>of</strong> fraud risk factors<br />
research were selected from Bangkok only. It might be better<br />
www.theinternationaljournal.org > RJSSM: Volume: 01, Number: 10, Feb-2012 Page 89