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cross-sections to look for consistency with regional sequence stratigraphy and other bedrock<br />

mapping studies. Continuous surfaces were then generated from the HGU picks and<br />

used as the framework for the numerical model. This study provides an example of how<br />

high resolution site scale characterization provides the data necessary to calibrate hydraulics<br />

to geologic features resulting in a robust HGU framework and confidence in extending<br />

that framework to the full flow system scale.<br />

292 - Parameter Estimation in a Regional Groundwater Flow<br />

Model to Represent Site-Specific High Resolution Head Profiles<br />

Steven G. Shikaze, Beiyan Zhang & Daron G. Abbey<br />

Matrix Solutions Inc., Breslau, Ontario, Canada<br />

Jessi R. Meyer & Beth L. Parker<br />

G360 Centre for Applied Groundwater Research, School of Engineering, University of<br />

Guelph, , Ontario, Canada<br />

In the 1950s and 60s, over 70,000 L of dense non-aqueous phase liquid (DNAPL) was<br />

released into the subsurface at a site in Wisconsin. In the 1980s, contamination (chlorinated<br />

solvents, BTEX, ketones) was discovered in the bedrock. Groundwater flow through<br />

the source zone has resulted in a dissolved-phase plume that has migrated approximately<br />

3 km downgradient. Remediation activities in the 1990s and 2000s included air sparging,<br />

DNAPL pumping, and hydraulic barrier wells. Over the past 11 years, researchers from<br />

the University of Guelph (UG) have been studying the site. This has included extensive<br />

field operations to understand of the groundwater flow system at the site. UG has collected<br />

high-resolution vertical hydraulic head data at various locations across the site, and this<br />

information has been used to inform an evolving site conceptual model.<br />

Groundwater modelling studies began in 2010 to aid in the understanding of the groundwater<br />

flow regime. A regional scale, three-dimensional groundwater flow model was constructed<br />

in FEFLOW. This model covers an area of approximately 300 km 2 and includes<br />

nearby communities that rely on groundwater water. The model is refined in the area of<br />

interest, which encompasses the plume area (approximately 16 km 2 ). Using the detailed<br />

on-site data as well as the sparser off-site data, the FEFLOW model was constructed<br />

from a site conceptual model that includes 21 model layers (6 overburden and 15 bedrock).<br />

Initial estimates for the hydraulic properties of these layers were based on UG’s hydraulic<br />

testing and detailed examination of borehole logs.<br />

Parameter estimation (PEST) software (Doherty, 2010) has been used in conjunction with<br />

the steady-state groundwater flow model in FEFLOW. PEST was used to adjust the<br />

input parameters (i.e., hydraulic conductivity (K), anisotropy (K h<br />

/K v<br />

), recharge) to obtain a<br />

good match with observed hydraulic heads. Emphasis has been placed on matching UG’s<br />

high-resolution vertical head data on site. Preliminary results suggest that the initial estimates<br />

for the range in K for most model layers need to be wider than the initial estimates.<br />

By expanding the K range in PEST, a better match with the vertical head measurements<br />

was attained. The results from this numerical analysis can be used to inform the site conceptual<br />

model.<br />

78 IAH-CNC 2015 WATERLOO CONFERENCE

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