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URBANIZATION AND INDUSTRIALIZATION

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The link between GDP and formal<br />

housing expenditure, paired with<br />

trends in urbanization, suggests<br />

that Africa is poised to see a<br />

major expansion of the urban<br />

housing market, if it puts the<br />

right enabling factors in place.<br />

higher prevalence of paved roads and better access<br />

to electricity; East and Southern Africa do best on<br />

Internet servers (table 4.2).<br />

The annual financing requirement for infrastructure<br />

investment in Africa excluding North Africa<br />

is estimated at $93 billion (Gutman, Sy and<br />

Chattopadhyay, 2015), but this covers rural and<br />

urban areas. With rapid urbanization and growing<br />

cities, countries will need to simultaneously catch up<br />

with the backlog, invest for the growing population<br />

and spend on maintenance.<br />

In the last two decades the region has seen significant<br />

growth in infrastructure investment, with an<br />

increasing share of private sector finance relative to<br />

official development assistance, including growing<br />

investment by China. Still, 65 per cent of the total<br />

comes from public budgets, representing 4 percent<br />

of GDP. This might be lower than the 5–6 per cent of<br />

GDP advocated by development practitioners, but<br />

countries such as Angola, Cabo Verde and Lesotho<br />

are investing more than 8 per cent of GDP (Gutman,<br />

Sy and Chattopadhyay, 2015).<br />

As Africa invests in urban infrastructure to catch up<br />

with its needs, with the help of global commitments<br />

by donor countries to the Sustainable Development<br />

Goals and the New Urban Agenda, 6 it should aim<br />

to develop the domestic construction sector<br />

and support services. Job creation, particularly<br />

for women and youth, should be a component<br />

of funded development projects. Some have<br />

questioned the dual goal of job creation via<br />

infrastructure investment, saying that domestic<br />

procurement policies may delay delivery or reduce<br />

quality (Altbeker, McKeown and Bernstein, 2012).<br />

And many emerging sectors will need government<br />

support to deliver at required standards, particularly<br />

informal and small enterprises, and such support<br />

should be paired with procurement targets.<br />

CLASSIFIED ROAD<br />

NETWORK DENSITY,<br />

PER L<strong>AND</strong> AREA<br />

(KM/1,000 SQ KM)<br />

CLASSIFIED ROAD<br />

NETWORK DENSITY,<br />

PER POPULATION<br />

(KM/1,000 PERSONS)<br />

PAVED ROADS (% OF TOTAL)<br />

Central 36.5 2.1 23.0<br />

Africa<br />

Elsewhere<br />

World<br />

East 127.9 1.2 29.5<br />

North 71.2<br />

Southern 99.8 5.5 35.4<br />

West 83.7 2.3 18.3<br />

East Asia and Pacific Other road data: last available 2001–2008<br />

European Union<br />

Latin America and<br />

Caribbean<br />

North America<br />

South Asia<br />

THE <strong>URBANIZATION</strong>–<strong>INDUSTRIALIZATION</strong> NEXUS<br />

127

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