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Emerging Business Models in the Pharmaceutical Industries ...

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Long Term Strategies - Biotech and Genomics<br />

Growth <strong>in</strong> Biotech<br />

Out of <strong>the</strong> total drugs be<strong>in</strong>g developed, 30% of <strong>the</strong> drugs<br />

are biotech.. In 2003 <strong>the</strong>re were over 600 publicly traded<br />

biotech firms worldwide, and drug discovery biotech<br />

revenues were believed to be $27 billion, with R&D costs<br />

approximately reach<strong>in</strong>g 70%.<br />

Successful biotech firms have focussed on narrow<br />

portfolios, allow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m to more effectively manage R&D,<br />

market<strong>in</strong>g and sales. While most breakthroughs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

future are expected from biotechnology, <strong>the</strong> constra<strong>in</strong>t of<br />

mass production capacity is driv<strong>in</strong>g costs.<br />

The commercial technology is not expected to be available<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next five years, but players <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g and develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

biotech now will emerge as w<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future. Pharma<br />

companies are enter<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to early alliances with biotech<br />

companies. This saves higher premiums be<strong>in</strong>g paid <strong>in</strong><br />

acquisitions.<br />

Complexity <strong>in</strong> Biotech<br />

Biotech are more complex to produce compared to<br />

conventional pharmaceuticals, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a global<br />

shortage of production capacity. As a result prices<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be high and biotech applications are often<br />

limited to low-volume and high-need areas.<br />

Coupled with advancement <strong>in</strong> nanotechnology, biotech<br />

treatment delivery is head<strong>in</strong>g for a complete revolution,<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g telemedic<strong>in</strong>e and biochips.<br />

Market Drivers for Biotech Growth<br />

• Increas<strong>in</strong>g trend of predictive and preventive care<br />

• Increased growth of biotech <strong>in</strong>ternationally<br />

• Increased big pharma consolidation<br />

• biotech to big pharma consolidation<br />

• biotech to biotech consolidation<br />

• Larger value realisation <strong>in</strong> partner<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Bundl<strong>in</strong>g of products lead<strong>in</strong>g to growth <strong>in</strong><br />

personalised drugs as aga<strong>in</strong>st block busters<br />

• Approvals of generic biotech drugs<br />

• Increased fund<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>in</strong>vestors and greater <strong>in</strong>terest<br />

<strong>in</strong> early stage <strong>in</strong>vestments, and doubl<strong>in</strong>g of biotech<br />

IPOs by 2005.<br />

Strategic Analysis of <strong>the</strong> Pharma Market, Future Revenue <strong>Models</strong> and Key Players 24

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