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Emerging Business Models in the Pharmaceutical Industries ...

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Short Term Strategies – Pre- and Post-Patent Based<br />

Generic vs. Patent Competition<br />

Patent based Pharma companies are look<strong>in</strong>g for ways<br />

to leng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> revenue streams of <strong>the</strong>ir products, and<br />

face <strong>the</strong> threat on <strong>the</strong>ir revenues from a new breed of<br />

generic companies. Companies are switch<strong>in</strong>g patients<br />

to next generation drugs to balance <strong>the</strong> drop <strong>in</strong><br />

revenues due to generic replacements. Public,<br />

political, and regulatory changes <strong>in</strong> generic plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />

are fur<strong>the</strong>r factors <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> generic-ethical drug fight.<br />

Growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Generic Market<br />

The generics <strong>in</strong>dustry is experienc<strong>in</strong>g unprecedented<br />

growth. N<strong>in</strong>e of <strong>the</strong> top 10 fastest grow<strong>in</strong>g pharma<br />

companies are generic and have a growth rate of over<br />

12%. Of <strong>the</strong> 10,375 drugs listed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> FDA’s Orange<br />

Book, 7,602 have generic counterparts. Generics<br />

companies are capitalis<strong>in</strong>g on patent expiry<br />

opportunities offered by year 2005 on drugs with<br />

revenues of $100 billion. Many are evolv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to fullyfledged,<br />

R&D-based, pharmaceutical companies. The<br />

Big Pharmas are also concerned about Medicare<br />

support to generic drugs.<br />

“Without an authorised generic product, a generic firm<br />

with 180-day exclusivity could reap a 1,000 percent<br />

ROI. With an authorised generic product on <strong>the</strong><br />

market, <strong>the</strong> ROI decl<strong>in</strong>es by about half to<br />

approximately 500 percent.<br />

Reduc<strong>in</strong>g Gaps <strong>in</strong> Generic and Patent Oriented<br />

Companies<br />

With Big Pharmas companies like Novartis, Abbott<br />

Laboratories, and Merck resort<strong>in</strong>g to more branded generic<br />

products, <strong>the</strong> gap between generic and patented drugs will<br />

be reduced. The big players will acquire generic companies<br />

to replace <strong>the</strong>ir orig<strong>in</strong>al product l<strong>in</strong>es, and offset <strong>the</strong>ir losses<br />

by replac<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> generic product with a better priced, more<br />

<strong>in</strong>novative and effective formulation drug.<br />

The generics market was recently affected by <strong>the</strong> failure of<br />

R&D molecules <strong>in</strong> advanced stages of development by<br />

Ranbaxy and Dr Reddy's Laboratories, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

competition, price erosion <strong>in</strong> generic drugs <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

markets, and comparatively rich stock market valuations.<br />

Several generic drug companies like Watson<br />

<strong>Pharmaceutical</strong>s, Barr <strong>Pharmaceutical</strong>s, Ranbaxy, and Dr.<br />

Reddy’s are now develop<strong>in</strong>g patented medic<strong>in</strong>es.<br />

Brand Equalisation<br />

Pharma companies are engag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> brand equalisation to<br />

reach a larger number of people through pharmacies. They<br />

are offer<strong>in</strong>g higher <strong>in</strong>centives to pharmacists to overcome<br />

competition from generic drugs.<br />

Strategic Analysis of <strong>the</strong> Pharma Market, Future Revenue <strong>Models</strong> and Key Players 35

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