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Emerging Business Models in the Pharmaceutical Industries ...

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** Companies work<strong>in</strong>g on average profit marg<strong>in</strong>s of 40%<br />

will add up (2.5 x Cost reduced) of revenues; I.e.13.5%<br />

reduction <strong>in</strong> cost will add upto 34%. though this<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease will not reflect <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> annual reports as <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

no direct <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> revenues. The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> profit<br />

marg<strong>in</strong>s may fur<strong>the</strong>r be compensated by <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

expenses <strong>in</strong> long term strategies.<br />

Increased R&D expenses, biotech spend<strong>in</strong>g, and<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased market<strong>in</strong>g expenses to compete with <strong>the</strong><br />

post-patent generic situation will add to <strong>the</strong> cost<br />

element. With cost sav<strong>in</strong>gs of 13.5% of <strong>the</strong> revenues,<br />

pharma companies can compensate for 34% of<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> revenues. However revenues may decrease<br />

due to patent expiry by as much as 40% by 2008.<br />

Added revenues from value-added targeted treatment<br />

solutions, <strong>in</strong>-licens<strong>in</strong>g and out-licens<strong>in</strong>g, and <strong>the</strong> new<br />

forward <strong>in</strong>tegrated model have not been considered<br />

while arriv<strong>in</strong>g at revenue equations.<br />

***Add<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> stimulat<strong>in</strong>g factors and negative factors<br />

mean that <strong>the</strong> total net revenues will grow up to 53% by<br />

2008 for <strong>the</strong> pharma <strong>in</strong>dustry.<br />

New Revenue Model<br />

Strategic Analysis of <strong>the</strong> Pharma Market, Future Revenue <strong>Models</strong> and Key Players 43

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