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NATIONAL REPORT OF THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF ... - IAG Office

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H. Kutterer, W.-D. Schuh: Quality Measures and Control (Stochastic and Non-Stochastic Methods of Data Evaluation) 161<br />

Typical time series in engineering geodesy comprise<br />

instationary components caused by varying external forces.<br />

An extension of standard modeling and analysis techniques<br />

has been developed by NEUNER and KUTTERER (2006) and<br />

NEUNER (2007). It is based on Wavelet transforms and<br />

statistical tests and focuses on irregularities of mean and<br />

variance of the time series.<br />

A compilation of filtering and related techniques for<br />

applications in geodesy was given by TEUSCH (2004).<br />

EICHHORN (2005) developed an adaptive Kalman filter for<br />

dynamic structural models and applied it to the modeling<br />

of the deformations of a steel cylinder induced by heat flow.<br />

In geometric space-geodetic applications the stochastic<br />

models of the observations are typically formulated in a<br />

straightforward way. Actually, only diagonal matrices are<br />

used for the original observations. In publications such as<br />

BISCH<strong>OF</strong>F et al. (2005, 2006) and HOWIND (2006) a procedure<br />

is presented which allows formulating and empirically<br />

deriving a stochastic model for GPS observations which<br />

is rigorously based on filtering techniques and statistical<br />

tests for the identification of homoscedastic sequences in<br />

the observation residual time series. SCHÖN and BRUNNER<br />

(2006) present a physically meaningful approach for the<br />

modeling of correlations of GPS phase observations.<br />

TESMER (2004) and TESMER and KUTTERER (2004) used<br />

the MINQUE approach for the estimation of variance and<br />

covariance components of VLBI data.<br />

Model Misspecification and Hypothesis Testing<br />

Many geodetic testing problems concerning parametric<br />

hypotheses may be formulated within the framework of<br />

testing the validity of a set of linear constraints imposed<br />

to a linear Gauss-Markov model. It is then usually argued<br />

that a reasonable test statistic should be based on the ratio<br />

of the variance factor estimated from the constraints and<br />

the variance factor estimated under the unconstrained<br />

Gauss-Markov model. Although this procedure is computationally<br />

convenient and intuitively sound, no rigorous<br />

attempt has been made yet to establish optimality with<br />

respect to its power function. Another shortcoming of<br />

current geodetic theory has been so far that no rigorous but<br />

convenient approach exists for tackling testing problems<br />

concerning, for instance, parameters within the weight<br />

matrix.<br />

To address these problems, it was proven in KARGOLL<br />

(2007) that under the assumption of normally distributed<br />

observation various geodetic standard tests, such as<br />

Baarda’s or Pope’s test for outliers, multivariate significance<br />

tests or tests concerning the specification of the a<br />

priori variance factor, are uniformly most powerful (UMP)<br />

within the class of invariant tests. The main characteristic<br />

of an invariant test lies in the fact that its power function<br />

exhibits certain symmetries with respect to the parameter<br />

domain, which is a reasonable assumption as long as no<br />

information about the parameters is available a priori. UMP<br />

invariant tests were also shown to be generally equivalent<br />

to likelihood ratio tests and Rao’s Score tests. The latter<br />

have the advantage that they do not require the parameter<br />

estimates under the unconstrained model, which is con-<br />

venient if the constraints set parameter values equal to zero.<br />

It was shown that the outlier tests mentioned above, being<br />

functions of the residuals of a constrained Gauss-Markov<br />

model, are in fact particular cases of Rao’s Score test, and<br />

that also other standard tests may be easily transformed into<br />

that form.<br />

Finally, testing problems concerning parameters within the<br />

weight matrix such as autoregressive correlation parameters<br />

or overlapping variance components were addressed. It was<br />

shown that, although strictly optimal tests do not exist in<br />

that case, corresponding tests based on Rao’s Score statistic<br />

are reasonable and computationally convenient diagnostic<br />

tools for deciding whether such parameters are significant<br />

or not, without requiring the estimation thereof. The current<br />

thesis by KARGOLL (2007) concluded with the derivation<br />

of the Jarque-Bera test of normality as another application<br />

of Rao’s Score test, which is useful to check the validity<br />

of the normality assumption presupposed in the aforementioned<br />

tests.<br />

Numerical Simulation – Monte Carlo Methods<br />

The Gibbs sampler of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo<br />

methods was applied to compute large covariance matrices<br />

and to propagate them to the estimated parameters (GUND-<br />

LICH et al., 2003). Covariance matrices of quantities obtained<br />

by linear and nonlinear transformations of estimated<br />

parameters can be directly obtained by this method without<br />

determining the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters<br />

thus saving a considerable amount of computation<br />

time. The Gibbs sampler is well suited for parallel computing<br />

so that this algorithm for computing covariance<br />

matrices was implemented on a parallel computer (KOCH<br />

et al., 2004). The method was applied to determine the<br />

maximum degree of harmonic coefficients in a geopotential<br />

model by hypothesis tests. Random variates for the harmonic<br />

coefficients were nonlinearly transformed to random<br />

values of quantities used for the hypothesis tests (KOCH,<br />

2005). The Gibbs sampler was also used for the Bayesian<br />

reconstruction of digital three-dimensional images of<br />

computer tomography. Since the posterior density function<br />

for the intensities of the voxels was intractable, the Gibbs<br />

sampler by means of sampling-importance-resampling was<br />

applied (KOCH, 2005, 2006, 2007a). A review of the<br />

Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, the Gibbs sampler<br />

and the sampling-importance-resampling algorithm can be<br />

found in KOCH (2007b).<br />

The approach of GUNDLICH et al. (2003) requires a fully<br />

populated normal equation matrix, which is not available<br />

in iterative solvers. As a solution to this problem, an<br />

alternative way to compute the variance-covariance information<br />

by Monte Carlo integration was presented in<br />

ALKHATIB and SCHUH (2007). The proposed variancecovariance<br />

estimation procedure is flexible and may be<br />

integrated into many types of solvers such as sparse solvers,<br />

parallel direct solvers or iterative solvers. These algorithms<br />

were applied in ALKHATIB (2007) to simulated GOCE data,<br />

where Satellite Gravity Gradiometry (SGG) and Satellite-to-<br />

Satellite Tracking (SST) data observations are combined<br />

for recovering the Earth's gravity field.

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