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eTheses Repository - University of Birmingham

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compared to the RADIUS series for similar mean urban land cover fractions. The<br />

simulations in the DENSITY series have a larger number <strong>of</strong> less densely urbanised grid<br />

cells with an urban land cover fraction compared to the more compact urban area in the<br />

RADIUS and COMBINED series. This result suggests that the existence <strong>of</strong> the extensive<br />

suburban areas surrounding the city centre has important implications for determining<br />

mean urban temperatures and for the management <strong>of</strong> cities and their development. For the<br />

RADIUS series on the other hand the spatial expansion <strong>of</strong> the city from 25 km 2 to 1600<br />

km 2 is the driving factor behind the change in the spatially average near surface potential<br />

temperature, but this appears to have a smaller effect compared to the increase in urban<br />

land cover fraction in the DENSITY series.<br />

6.3.2 Effect <strong>of</strong> urban growth on the REI and effective radius<br />

It is observed that all the model runs demonstrate an increase in the average value for the<br />

near surface potential temperature when compared with the model simulation with rural<br />

land use (NOURB). It is however interesting to analyse the area at night time which is<br />

affected by a change in the near surface potential temperature greater than a threshold value<br />

<strong>of</strong> 1 K, and to relate this to the area occupied by the city for each domain. After detailed<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> the horizontal slices at 10 m for each model run, a minimum change <strong>of</strong> 1 K was<br />

considered because all the simulations showed an area affected by this change at 04:00. An<br />

effective radius (Reff) is calculated for the RADIUS and the COMBINED series <strong>of</strong> runs<br />

using:<br />

Reff = A(x)<br />

/ π<br />

(Equation 6.5)<br />

190

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