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eTheses Repository - University of Birmingham

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Abstract<br />

Urban areas have well documented effects on climate, such as the urban heat island effect,<br />

reduction <strong>of</strong> wind speeds, enhanced turbulence and boundary layer heights, and changes in<br />

cloud cover and precipitation. This PhD examines the impact <strong>of</strong> the urban surface on the<br />

major agglomeration <strong>of</strong> London on local and regional climate by means <strong>of</strong> the numerical<br />

mesoscale model METRAS (Schlünzen 1988) coupled for the first time with the<br />

sophisticated urban canopy scheme BEP, developed by Martilli et al. (2002).<br />

The robustness <strong>of</strong> the new model is demonstrated through a series <strong>of</strong> simulations and<br />

sensitivity studies for an idealised urban domain. The model is then configured for the<br />

London region, and evaluated using data from a range <strong>of</strong> meteorological monitoring sites.<br />

Implementation <strong>of</strong> the urban canopy scheme results in a marked improvement in model<br />

performance. Under ideal meteorological conditions, peak urban heat island intensities <strong>of</strong><br />

up to 2.5 K are found during night time hours, with the timing and magnitude <strong>of</strong> the peak<br />

showing good agreement with previous experimental studies for London.<br />

The new model is then used to investigate how growth <strong>of</strong> the Greater London urban area<br />

affects the urban heat island intensity. The results show that the relative fractions <strong>of</strong> urban<br />

land cover and <strong>of</strong> vegetation within the urban area have important implications for the<br />

near surface temperature, diurnal temperature range, wind speed and urban heat island<br />

intensity.<br />

The results also suggest that extensive future growth <strong>of</strong> the London urban area has the<br />

potential to increase temperatures, with significant increases for both daytime and night<br />

time. The specific forms <strong>of</strong> urban development, such as densification and spatial<br />

expansion, have an impact on these fields. These results have important implications for<br />

the design <strong>of</strong> cities and the management <strong>of</strong> urban climate.<br />

i

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