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Presenter<br />

Liao, Tim F.; <strong>University</strong> of Illinois<br />

Authors<br />

Tim F. Liao, <strong>University</strong> of Illinois; Anette Fasang, Yale <strong>University</strong><br />

Title<br />

A Permutation Test for Comparing Groups of Social Science Sequences<br />

Abstract<br />

Sequence analysis has seen recent advances as well as wider applications<br />

in the social sciences. However, no formal way exists in the literature for<br />

directly comparing groups of sequences to determine whether they are different<br />

in a statistically meaningful way. To fill this gap, we propose a permutation test<br />

for comparing groups of social science sequences. We view a typical social<br />

science sequence such as life-course or employment-history sequences as<br />

having certain characteristics such as transition to first marriage, first birth, or<br />

first job, that contribute some unique information. Therefore, in addition to<br />

proposing a permutation test for comparing overall sequence-group differences<br />

via sequence-based distance such as the Levenshtein distance, we propose to<br />

apply the permutation test on statistics that isolate specific aspects of<br />

sequences. Examples of such statistics include the relative frequency of<br />

transitions and the timing of certain events. We apply the test to both simulated<br />

groups of sequences and data from the German Life History Study (GLHS) on<br />

family formation of East and West German women.

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