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Here - Tilburg University

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Author and presenter<br />

Lospinoso, Joshua A.; Dept. of Statistics, <strong>University</strong> of Oxford<br />

Title<br />

Joint inference on informant accuracy and social network dynamics<br />

Abstract<br />

To date, models for social network dynamics have been formulated<br />

(perhaps implicitly) in such a manner that complete trust is bestowed upon the<br />

observed data; the observed data panels are taken for the true state of<br />

relationships and data augmentation proceeds by constructing chains that could<br />

have connected them. This trend of placing complete trust in the data follows<br />

the general social networks literature. However, the extensive literature on<br />

informant accuracy suggests that placing such trust in the observed data as a<br />

representation of the true state of relations may be a tenuous proposition.<br />

In this talk, a flexible class of models is considered which relaxes the strict<br />

trustin observed network data.<br />

This intermediate model for informant accuracy can represent basic noise with<br />

some false positive rate and some false negative rate and be elaborated by<br />

random and fixed effects models. Bayesian ideas can be leveraged, as the notion<br />

of genuine prior belief about informant accuracy may be particularly appropriate.<br />

Further, the exponential random graph (ERG) family of models can be naturally<br />

employed for this purpose. In this sense, the model is a generalization of the<br />

Stochastic Actor Oriented Models of Snijders (2001) which permits joint<br />

inference on the social network dynamics and on the informant accuracy.

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