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6.1. FORSCHUNGSSTELLE “RADIOMETRIE” 169<br />
6.1.9 U-series dating and paleoclimatic interpretation of the stable isotope<br />
profile of stalagmite ER76 from Grotta di Ernesto, Italy<br />
Denis Scholz (Participating scientists: Christoph Spötl (Innsbruck), Silvia Frisia (Trento), Andrea<br />
Borsato (Trento), Jens Fohlmeister)<br />
Abstract Stalagmite ER76 from Grotta di Ernesto, Italy, was precisely dated by TIMS Th/Udating.<br />
The age-depth-model was constructed using a Bayesian approach to improve the dating<br />
uncertainty and applying a mixed effect regression model. Furthermore, high-resolution stable oxygen<br />
and carbon isotope profiles were determined.<br />
A g e [k y r]<br />
1 0<br />
9<br />
8<br />
7<br />
6<br />
5<br />
4<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
A g e -d e p th m o d e l (H e e g a a rd e t a l., 2 0 0 5 )<br />
9 5 % c o n fid e n c e lim its<br />
N e w U -s e rie s a g e s<br />
U -s e rie s a g e s (M c D e rm o tt e t a l., 1 9 9 9 )<br />
0<br />
0 5 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 2 0 0 2 5 0 3 0 0 3 5 0 4 0 0<br />
D is ta n c e fro m to p [m m ]<br />
Figure 6.10: Final age-depth-model calculated for stalagmite ER76<br />
Background Stalagmite ER76 from Grotta di<br />
Ernesto, Italy, was precisely dated by TIMS<br />
Th/U-dating. The age-depth-model was constructed<br />
using a Bayesian approach to improve the<br />
dating uncertainty and applying a mixed effect regression<br />
model. Furthermore, high-resolution stable<br />
oxygen and carbon isotope profiles were determined.<br />
Methods and results Nine TIMS U-series<br />
ages as well as high-resolution stable isotope profiles<br />
on stalagmite ER76 from Grotta di Ernesto,<br />
Italy, were determined. Due to its low 238 U (20-<br />
40 ng/g) content which is typical for stalagmites<br />
from Grotta di Ernesto, U-series dating of ER76<br />
is rather difficult. Nevertheless, we were able to<br />
determine a 230 Th/U-age of 2.27 0.08 kyr in the<br />
youngest part, at 30 mm distance from top (dft).<br />
However, due to the low U content, the error bars<br />
of some data points overlap significantly. By application<br />
of a Bayesian approach which takes into<br />
account both the results of the U-series dating<br />
and the stratigraphic sequence of the individual<br />
samples the uncertainty of some data points could<br />
be reduced substantially. We suggest to generally<br />
apply this Bayesian approach when the individual<br />
data point errors overlap. Overall, 13 data points,<br />
nine measured in Heidelberg and four by McDermott<br />
et al. [1999], were used to construct the final<br />
age-depth relationship for ER76. The age model<br />
and its uncertainty (see Fig. 6.10) was estimated<br />
using a mixed-effect regression model [Heegaard<br />
et al. , 2005]. Based on the new age model, ER76<br />
exhibits a rather constant growth rate of approximately<br />
0.05 mm/yr between 8.5 and 2 kyr. It<br />
was actively growing when it was collected, and<br />
Frisia et al. [2003] have shown that ER76 exhibits<br />
annual laminae in the period between 1650<br />
and 1995 AD. The thickness of these annual laminae<br />
lies between 0.02 and 0.1 mm. In combination<br />
with the new age model obtained by U-series dating<br />
this shows that there must be a substantial<br />
hiatus between 2 and 0.5 kyr in ER76. Oxygen<br />
and carbon stable isotope profiles were measured<br />
at the University of Innsbruck at a resolution of<br />
0.1 mm between 0 and 8 mm dft and 0.25 mm<br />
below 8 mm dft.<br />
Outlook/Future work An earlier study [Mc-<br />
Dermott et al. , 1999] revealed that ER76 recorded<br />
several Holocene warm/dry and cold/wet phases,<br />
respectively. Because the resolution in that study<br />
was approximately 2 mm, the new profiles have<br />
a ten times higher resolution which should enable<br />
to detect even rapid climate events.<br />
Funding DFG Forschergruppe 668: ”Datierte<br />
Speläotheme: Archive der Paläoumwelt”<br />
Main publication Vollweiler et al. [2006],<br />
Scholz & Mangini [2006], Scholz & Mangini [accepted<br />
for publication], Mangini et al. [accepted<br />
for publication]