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UN World Investment Report 2010 - Office of Trade Negotiations

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CHAPTER II Regional Trends in FDI 73<br />

already-signed agreements on trade in goods and<br />

services, completed the negotiation process <strong>of</strong><br />

CAFTA, effective as <strong>of</strong> 1 January <strong>2010</strong>. It can be<br />

expected to further promote two-way FDI flows<br />

between China on the one hand and ASEAN<br />

member States on the other. (Source: Xinhua<br />

News Agency, Economic Information Daily, http://<br />

www.jjckb.cn/wzyw/<strong>2010</strong>-01/04/content_200697.<br />

htm.)<br />

17 Source: James Lamont, “Huawei in $500m India<br />

outlay”, Financial Times, 10 January <strong>2010</strong>.<br />

18 TNC participation in infrastructure (including<br />

electricity, telecommunications and transport) has<br />

surged in the region. From the recipient perspective,<br />

FDI has become a key source <strong>of</strong> financing<br />

for telecommunications in some countries in the<br />

region (WIR08).<br />

19 For instance, in the area <strong>of</strong> trade, the so-called<br />

“triangular trade” (that among the United States,<br />

China and other East Asian economies) through<br />

China has acted as a primary growth engine for<br />

the region (Kuroiwa et al., 2009).<br />

20 For a number <strong>of</strong> economies in East and South-<br />

East Asia, the problem is one <strong>of</strong> over-reliance on<br />

exports to developed-country markets, as well as<br />

insufficient domestic consumption. The global<br />

imbalance is exemplified by the current trade<br />

relationship between China and the United States.<br />

A similar situation existed between Japan and the<br />

United States in the 1980s, and led to significant<br />

FDI flows from the former to the latter by the end<br />

<strong>of</strong> 1990s.<br />

21 The crisis relates to Dubai <strong>World</strong>, which is a<br />

holding company owned by the Government <strong>of</strong><br />

Dubai. The group has a central role in the direction<br />

<strong>of</strong> Dubai’s economy. It manages some 90<br />

entities that expand beyond its home country and<br />

region. In November 2009, Dubai <strong>World</strong> asked<br />

to delay for six months payment on $26 billion<br />

<strong>of</strong> debt, which shook the confidence <strong>of</strong> investors<br />

holding the Government’s debt, and caused the<br />

downgrading <strong>of</strong> the credit ratings for several<br />

government-related entities in Dubai.<br />

22 French GDF Suez acquired the natural gas distribution<br />

company Izmit Gaz Dagitim for $600 million,<br />

and Czech power company CEZ purchased<br />

the electricity distribution company Sakarya<br />

Elektrik Dagitim for $408 million.<br />

23 “Qatar and its emir: he’ll do it his way”, The<br />

Economist, 27 May <strong>2010</strong>.<br />

24 These are Brazil, Chile and Mexico that together<br />

attracted 44 per cent <strong>of</strong> total FDI inflows to the<br />

region in 2009.<br />

25 In the case <strong>of</strong> the Chilean retail sector, however,<br />

outward FDI increased in the last few years<br />

without State intervention. Strong pro-market<br />

institutions in Chile helped in the process <strong>of</strong> internationalization<br />

<strong>of</strong> this highly competitive and<br />

unregulated sector (Finchelstein, 2009).<br />

26 This is the case for instance with companies like<br />

Argentina’s Techint and Arcor; Brazil’s Petrobras,<br />

Vale (CVRD), Embraer, Gerdau, Votorantim, and<br />

Camargo Correa; and Mexico’s Cemex, FEMSA,<br />

Alfa, Gruma, Bimbo and Mexichem.<br />

27 Finchelstein, 2009; Lima and de Barros, 2009;<br />

“Brazil and investment”, The Economist, 12 November<br />

2009; and “Credit: BNDES to support<br />

internationalization <strong>of</strong> Brazilian businesses”,<br />

Investimentos e Noticias, 17 February <strong>2010</strong>.<br />

28 The Bank for International Settlements estimated<br />

that Brazilian companies lost $25 billion in<br />

these transactions, whereas Mexican companies<br />

lost $4 billion (The Boston Consulting Group,<br />

2009).<br />

29 FDI flows from Cyprus, a major home for roundtripping<br />

FDI, decreased from $20 billion (or 27<br />

per cent <strong>of</strong> the total) in 2008 to $5.7 billion in<br />

2009.<br />

30 Banking supervision reports (Croatia National<br />

Bank and National Bank <strong>of</strong> Serbia).<br />

31 Banking supervision reports (Central Bank <strong>of</strong><br />

Albania, National Bank <strong>of</strong> the former Yugoslav<br />

Republic <strong>of</strong> Macedonia and National Bank <strong>of</strong><br />

Serbia).<br />

32 The results <strong>of</strong> a cross-sectional econometric<br />

estimation <strong>of</strong> cross-border lending flows in the<br />

last quarter <strong>of</strong> 2008 indicated that foreign bank<br />

ownership was a highly significant predictor<br />

<strong>of</strong> smaller net outflows (a 10 percentage point<br />

increase in foreign ownership <strong>of</strong> banks reduced<br />

the net outflow <strong>of</strong> cross-border loans by 1.4 percentage<br />

points) (EBRD, 2009).<br />

33 “Hypo will Aufschub für Sanierungsplan”, Wirtschaftsblatt,<br />

11 March <strong>2010</strong> (www.wirtschaftsblatt.at/archiv/411940/index.do).<br />

34 In the face <strong>of</strong> the financial crisis, international<br />

institutions (including the EBRD, the IMF and the<br />

European Commission) initiated a process aimed<br />

at addressing the systemic risk in selected countries<br />

<strong>of</strong> the region. The initiative took the form <strong>of</strong><br />

financial support (<strong>of</strong> €52 billion) to parent banks<br />

recapitalizing subsidiaries when necessary while<br />

broadly maintaining exposure to countries.<br />

35 This suggestion is also confirmed by the findings<br />

<strong>of</strong> the latest EBRD report (EBRD, 2009).<br />

36 Including, among others, the following: Sinopec<br />

(China) through its Mirror Lake Oil & Gas Co<br />

Ltd. bought the Swiss Addax Petroleum Corp.<br />

for $7.2 billion; International Petroleum <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Co. (United Arab Emirates) acquired a<br />

37.5 per cent stake <strong>of</strong> Ciá Española de Petròleos<br />

(Spain) for $4.4 billion; and Korea National Oil

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