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UN World Investment Report 2010 - Office of Trade Negotiations

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106<br />

the above typology <strong>of</strong> low-carbon foreign<br />

investment applies equally well, with appropriate<br />

modifications, to both equity and<br />

non-equity forms <strong>of</strong> TNC participation.<br />

For example, the notion <strong>of</strong> technological<br />

upgrading <strong>of</strong> operations to reduce GHG<br />

emissions can be readily applied to buildoperate-transfer<br />

(BOT) projects. 12<br />

Thirdly, while a TNC can reduce GHG emissions<br />

in facilities it owns or runs, it can also<br />

influence emissions along its value chain<br />

(fig. IV.1). Suppliers in a host country, for<br />

instance, can be persuaded or supported to<br />

switch to low-carbon technologies in order<br />

to reduce GHG emissions associated with<br />

the TNCs’ inputs. TNCs can also work to<br />

help reduce GHG emissions in their customers’<br />

operations. They usually are in a better<br />

position to provide technological support<br />

to their suppliers and customers than local<br />

companies, and – in the context <strong>of</strong> international<br />

value chains – may also be more<br />

likely to do so in order to meet demands<br />

for low-carbon products from their final<br />

customers in developed countries. Moreover,<br />

TNCs may be more advanced in reducing<br />

GHG emissions than their local suppliers<br />

and customers, which may result in these<br />

local partners modifying their technology<br />

accordingly.<br />

2. The demand for low-carbon<br />

foreign investment by sector<br />

The climate change<br />

debate is framed in<br />

terms <strong>of</strong> sectors, 13<br />

An effective way<br />

<strong>of</strong> leveraging the<br />

contribution <strong>of</strong><br />

TNCs to lower GHG such as power, trans-<br />

emissions is to channel portation, buildings<br />

low-carbon foreign and agriculture, which<br />

investment into key are deemed significant<br />

sectors with high in achieving GHG<br />

mitigation potential.<br />

emission reductions.<br />

These sectors <strong>of</strong>fer a<br />

concrete framework within which low-carbon<br />

investments – domestic and foreign – are<br />

defined and required to meet GHG emission<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2010</strong>: Investing in a Low-Carbon Economy<br />

challenges; and host countries, including<br />

those who themselves are not large emitters<br />

<strong>of</strong> GHGs, can use this as a basis to assess<br />

the likely impact and net benefits <strong>of</strong> foreign<br />

investment relative to other options.<br />

The main sectors which dominate GHG<br />

emissions – and hence require the attention<br />

<strong>of</strong> policy-makers in order to reduce these<br />

emissions – are sectors where TNCs play<br />

a strong role as emitters (i.e. power and<br />

industry), sectors where emissions largely<br />

result from consumption and public use (i.e.<br />

transport, buildings and waste management)<br />

and sectors where emissions are due to<br />

changes in land-use such as deforestation<br />

and land degradation (i.e. forestry and agriculture).<br />

These sectors – which represent<br />

areas <strong>of</strong> GHG emissions rather than economic<br />

areas – are based on the classification used<br />

by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate<br />

Change (IPCC) in their Fourth Assessment<br />

<strong>Report</strong> (IPCC, 2007).<br />

Emissions vary substantially across these<br />

sectors, and their relative weight will continue<br />

evolving over time. Estimated annual<br />

global emissions by sector in 2030, using<br />

the business-as-usual scenario described<br />

in box IV.3, 14 are presented in table IV.1.<br />

The mitigation potential in each sector<br />

is estimated taking into account existing<br />

technologies and emitting entities, and the<br />

additional investment needed to achieve this<br />

potential is then calculated. Some sectors,<br />

such as power, are projected to be among<br />

the largest emitters <strong>of</strong> GHGs in 2030, but<br />

their impact can potentially be mitigated<br />

more cost effectively than in other sectors,<br />

such as transport.<br />

The types <strong>of</strong> low-carbon foreign investment<br />

described in the previous section carry varying<br />

relevance across emission sectors. Much<br />

<strong>of</strong> the potential demand for foreign investment<br />

focusing on low-carbon processes,<br />

for example, lies in sectors where TNCs<br />

themselves are major emitters relative to<br />

other entities, essentially power and industry

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