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7th Workshop on Forest Fire Management - EARSeL, European ...

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Daily m<strong>on</strong>itoring of pre-fire vegetati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s using satellite MODIS data: the experience of FIRE-SAT in the Basilicata Regi<strong>on</strong> 153<br />

MODIS data have been used to obtain both (i) Greenness and (ii) moisture<br />

index.<br />

(i) Greenness is a quite popular fire danger index, developed by Burgan, et<br />

al. (1998). The basis for calculating RG is historical NDVI data that defines<br />

the maximum and minimum NDVI values observed for each pixel. Thus RG<br />

indicates how green each pixel currently is in relati<strong>on</strong> to the range of historical<br />

NDVI observati<strong>on</strong>s for it. RG values are scaled from 0 to 100, with<br />

low values indicating the vegetati<strong>on</strong> is at or near its minimum greenness.<br />

Specifically the algorithm is:<br />

RG = (ND0 - NDmn)/(NDmx - Ndmn) * 100<br />

where<br />

ND0 = highest observed NDVI value for the c<strong>on</strong>sidered<br />

composite period which 8 days<br />

NDmn = historical minimum NDVI value for a given pixel<br />

NDmx = historical maximum NDVI value for a given pixel<br />

The purpose of using relative greenness in the fire danger estimati<strong>on</strong> is to partiti<strong>on</strong><br />

the live fuel load between the live and dead vegetati<strong>on</strong> fuel classes.<br />

(ii) Am<strong>on</strong>g the wide range of vegetati<strong>on</strong> indices, specifically devised to<br />

estimate vegetati<strong>on</strong> water c<strong>on</strong>tent, we adopted the MSI. This choice was<br />

driven by the results from statistical analyses that we performed <strong>on</strong> a significant<br />

time series. Such results pointed out the all the available satellitebased<br />

moisture index exhibited high correlati<strong>on</strong> values.<br />

MSI = R 1600/ R 820<br />

Where R 1600 and R 820 denote the MODIS Reflectance as acquired in the<br />

spectral bands 1600nm and 820 nm.<br />

The danger classificati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> live fuel can be estimated by dividing the<br />

range of the MSI maps into different classes. Finally, The fire danger index<br />

(FDI), related to vegetati<strong>on</strong> state, was obtained by combining the danger<br />

classes obtained from RG and those from MSI following an approach similar<br />

to that adopted in Lasap<strong>on</strong>ara (2005) for combining NDVI and<br />

Temperature. High fire danger, as classified by FDI, was deduced by a combinati<strong>on</strong><br />

of high dryness and low RG values, and low fire danger was<br />

deduced by a combinati<strong>on</strong> of low dryness and high RG values.<br />

3 - Results and discussi<strong>on</strong><br />

The analysis was performed in the Basilicata (9,992 km 2 ) Regi<strong>on</strong> for the<br />

2008 year. Figures 2 show some fire danger maps obtained for the summer<br />

seas<strong>on</strong>. Currently, the fire susceptibility maps are provided daily during the<br />

fire seas<strong>on</strong> (summer seas<strong>on</strong>) and weekly for the rest of the year.<br />

Results obtained during the first year of the project (2008) shows that more<br />

tha 85% of fires occurred in the areas classified as high and very high dan-

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