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7th Workshop on Forest Fire Management - EARSeL, European ...

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66<br />

I - PRE-FIRE PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT<br />

4 - C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Moisture c<strong>on</strong>tent is a complex characteristic of vegetati<strong>on</strong> that is a functi<strong>on</strong><br />

of numerous surface variables. This study has illustrated that a sophisticated<br />

land surface model, such as JULES, is capable of modelling FMC over<br />

fine temporal resoluti<strong>on</strong>s for large geographical regi<strong>on</strong>s. An advantage of<br />

this method is that modelled FMC does not suffer from missing data limitati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

associated with direct Earth Observati<strong>on</strong> derivati<strong>on</strong>s, such as sensor<br />

technical difficulties and excess cloud cover. Furthermore, a land surface<br />

model has the ability to seamlessly pass this variable to a coupled fire<br />

module for estimating fire characteristics, such as rate-of-spread and<br />

burned area.<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

The authors would like to thank Navashni Govender, Programme Manager for<br />

<strong>Fire</strong> Ecology at Kruger Nati<strong>on</strong>al Park, South Africa for the provisi<strong>on</strong> of FMC<br />

measurements from 1982 to 2003.<br />

References<br />

Chuvieco, E., Aguado, I. and Dimitrakopoulos, A.P., 2004. C<strong>on</strong>versi<strong>on</strong> of<br />

fuel moisture c<strong>on</strong>tent values to igniti<strong>on</strong> potential for integrated fire<br />

danger assessment. Canadian Journal of <strong>Forest</strong> Research-Revue<br />

Canadienne De Recherche <strong>Forest</strong>iere 34(11): 2284-2293.<br />

Cox, P.M., Betts, R.A., Bunt<strong>on</strong>, C.B., Essery, R.L.H., Rowntree, P.R. and<br />

Smith, J., 1999. The impact of new land surface physics <strong>on</strong> the GCM simulati<strong>on</strong><br />

of climate and climate sensitivity. Climate Dynamics 15(3): 183-<br />

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Generati<strong>on</strong> Spaceborne Sensors to Global Change Studies, Meribel, France,<br />

pp 1–6.<br />

Global Soil Data Task., 2000. Global Gridded Surfaces of Selected Soil<br />

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- Data and Informati<strong>on</strong> Services. Available <strong>on</strong>line [http://<br />

www.daac.ornl.gov/] from the ORNL Distributed Active Archive Center,<br />

Oak Ridge, Tennessee, U.S.A.<br />

Kalnay, E., et al., 1996. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bulletin<br />

of the American Meteorological Society 77(3): 437-471.<br />

Kummerow, C., Barnes, W., Kozu, T., Shiue, J. and Simps<strong>on</strong>, J., 1998. The<br />

Tropical Rainfall Measuring Missi<strong>on</strong> (TRMM) sensor package. Journal of<br />

Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 15(3): 809-817.

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