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Annual Report 1997/1998 - Munich Re

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<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> <strong><strong>Re</strong>port</strong> of the Board of Management<br />

The change in the balance sheet date will enable us to inform our<br />

shareholders about the past business year significantly earlier and also<br />

let them participate in the profit at an earlier date. The next annual<br />

report will be published in June 1999 (instead of November); the AGM<br />

will take place on 22nd July 1999, over four months earlier than<br />

hitherto.<br />

Group premium income for <strong>1998</strong> around DM 50bn<br />

We will consolidate the VICTORIA Group fully for the first time, in<br />

contrast to its inclusion on a pro rata basis with five twelfths in our<br />

consolidated accounts as at 30th June <strong>1998</strong>. After its sale to CGU,<br />

Berlinische Leben will no longer be consolidated in the <strong>1998</strong> accounts.<br />

Torino Ri, for which the relevant acquisition was completed in July<br />

<strong>1998</strong>, will be consolidated for the first time.<br />

On this basis, at unchanged currency parities, we expect our<br />

premium income for <strong>1998</strong> to be around DM 50bn. This is an increase<br />

of about 12% on last year. The premium will derive almost equally<br />

from the direct insurers and the reinsurers.<br />

Another satisfying Group result in prospect<br />

As things stand at present, the result will again be very good. Owing<br />

to the full consolidation of the VICTORIA Group and the expected<br />

improvements in the results of the reinsurance subsidiaries, the Group<br />

profit for the year should reach at least the same level as in <strong>1997</strong>/98,<br />

even though the parent company will only be included for a short<br />

business year. However, this forecast presupposes that we are not<br />

affected by exceptional developments in the remainder of <strong>1998</strong>,<br />

especially by heavy claims burdens from natural catastrophes or<br />

other very large losses.<br />

Parent company<br />

Competition among insurers is increasing, so that original rates<br />

are falling. In addition, our cedants are significantly raising their<br />

retentions. At the same time, the supply of capacity in reinsurance is<br />

growing. Nevertheless, the parent company will succeed in more or<br />

less maintaining its premium volume in the risk period <strong>1998</strong>.<br />

Premium income to stay at last year’s level<br />

The premium income from German business – despite the successful<br />

defence of our market share – is showing a marked decrease; this<br />

applies especially to motor business and industrial fire insurance. By<br />

contrast, our premium volume will show further pleasing expansion<br />

abroad, especially in life business but also in agricultural insurance and<br />

in fire.<br />

54

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