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September 11 Commission Report - Gnostic Liberation Front

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[When the Back Office Moved to the <strong>Front</strong> Burner: Settlement Fails in the Treasury Market after 9/<strong>11</strong>,<br />

Michael J. Fleming and Kenneth D. Garbade, FRBNY Economic Policy Review / November 2002, p 41.]<br />

The response of the Fed in bringing a new issue to the market at this time seems to have<br />

inadvertently (an assumption which should be challenged) been the source of continued<br />

lower “special rates” on the ten year note, and exacerbated the fail problem through the<br />

end of the year. In the extended condition of a high level of settlement fails, it would<br />

require little effort to ‘statistically hide’ the settlement of the remaining $240 billion that<br />

may not have been cleared in the immediate aftermath. The three week lull of fails in<br />

October could easily represent the 30 day short term refinancing of the debt. As the debt<br />

came back to the market for permanent refinancing, a shortage of investors would result<br />

in more fails.<br />

THE SEPTEMBER <strong>11</strong> COMMISSION REPORT Page 379

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