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110<br />

Economic analysis<br />

survey studies often related to dementia rather<br />

than AD. 122;130 Cost estimates tend to be based on<br />

data analysis (involving assumptions) <strong>and</strong><br />

modelling, to determine estimates of care (based<br />

on various inputs to packages of care) over time,<br />

namely annual average cost estimates.<br />

Selected UK cost studies<br />

Gray <strong>and</strong> Fenn 126 present findings from a costing<br />

study using a burden of illness (BOI) framework.<br />

The study uses aggregate data on relevant cost<br />

areas (hospitalisation, primary care) together with<br />

epidemiological data on AD to estimate the costs<br />

associated with AD. Estimates are based on a ‘topdown’<br />

approach to the allocation of costs. The<br />

analysis, like many BOI studies, is not precise <strong>and</strong><br />

is subject to a number of fairly broad assumptions<br />

<strong>and</strong> calculations; however, the findings are<br />

illustrative of the level of cost expected in AD,<br />

largely at an aggregate level. Gray <strong>and</strong> Fenn<br />

suggest that it costs ~£1.04 billion (1990–91<br />

prices) to provide healthcare <strong>and</strong> social services<br />

support to people aged ≥ 65 years with AD in<br />

Engl<strong>and</strong>. The study finds that most of the cost<br />

burden, around 65%, is on payments <strong>for</strong><br />

residential <strong>and</strong> nursing home care, with a further<br />

25% of total costs associated with hospital-based<br />

care. The BOI study presents estimates by age<br />

grouping, but does not consider cost estimates by<br />

disease severity. The estimates from Gray <strong>and</strong><br />

Fenn were used in the cost-effectiveness study by<br />

Fenn <strong>and</strong> Gray, 91 where they are updated to 1997<br />

prices, presenting an estimate of the cost per AD<br />

patient in long-term institutional care at £18,162,<br />

while the cost of patients in a home setting was<br />

estimated at £1899 (to include GP visits,<br />

outpatient attendance, day care <strong>and</strong> respite care,<br />

short inpatient stays <strong>and</strong> services such as meals on<br />

wheels).<br />

Costing studies from the PSSRU have been<br />

published to in<strong>for</strong>m on the costs of care <strong>for</strong> the<br />

elderly <strong>and</strong> demented patient population. 118,120,153<br />

The PSSRU research used data from the OPCS<br />

disability survey (1985–86) to estimate the<br />

proportions of people with cognitive impairment<br />

in different types of care – private households,<br />

residential <strong>and</strong> nursing homes, <strong>and</strong> hospitals.<br />

Costs of care packages <strong>for</strong> each of these types of<br />

care were then calculated using a variety of cost<br />

sources, some dating back to the early or mid<br />

1980s, with costs updated to 1992–93 prices. The<br />

OPCS survey included all people with dementia<br />

regardless of underlying cause; the proportion of<br />

people with AD was not recorded, <strong>and</strong> cognitive<br />

disability was measured using the OPCS SEVINT<br />

scale. Stewart 121 drew together a number of work<br />

TABLE 57 Estimate of cost of care <strong>for</strong> people with dementia<br />

aged ≥ 75 years, by setting of care<br />

Care location Estimated<br />

annual cost<br />

(1996 prices)<br />

(£)<br />

Living alone in a private household 12,331<br />

Living with others in private household 14,132<br />

Residential accommodation 24,801<br />

Source: Stewart. 121<br />

areas, 118,120 to present cost estimates <strong>for</strong> those<br />

elderly <strong>and</strong> demented patients over 75 years old<br />

by three categories of residential setting: living<br />

alone in private household, living with others in a<br />

private household <strong>and</strong> living in residential<br />

accommodation (see Table 57).<br />

There remains some uncertainty over the<br />

components of cost included in the cost estimates<br />

presented by Stewart. The discussion paper states<br />

that the cost items included are direct costs of<br />

<strong>for</strong>mal health <strong>and</strong> social care with in<strong>for</strong>mal care<br />

excluded, but data used by Stewart are from<br />

Kavanagh <strong>and</strong> colleagues, 120 which include<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mal care <strong>and</strong> accommodation costs.<br />

Data from Kavanagh <strong>and</strong> colleagues, 120 which<br />

<strong>for</strong>ms the basis <strong>for</strong> the cost estimates presented by<br />

Stewart, 121 are presented in Tables 58 <strong>and</strong> 59. It<br />

can be seen from the data that around 23% of the<br />

care costs (e.g. living alone/with others in a private<br />

household) fall on the NHS <strong>and</strong> PSS budget.<br />

Stewart 121 has also trans<strong>for</strong>med the SEVINT<br />

scores (13-point scale) onto the MMSE scale (30<br />

points) in order to calculate cost estimates by<br />

MMSE score (category) (see Table 60), but not<br />

every point on the MMSE score is represented.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, it is unclear how the costs <strong>for</strong> AD<br />

disease severity levels, which are each defined by a<br />

particular range of the MMSE, were derived. The<br />

cost estimates presented by Stewart were based on<br />

the proportions of patients in each category of<br />

care (with residential care subdivided by four<br />

further settings of care) <strong>and</strong> cost data <strong>for</strong> care in<br />

each location, with estimates updated to 1996<br />

prices.<br />

O’Shea <strong>and</strong> O’Reilly 152 present findings from a<br />

BOI study of dementia, incorporating direct,<br />

indirect, <strong>for</strong>mal <strong>and</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mal costs. They present<br />

findings <strong>for</strong> costs across acute hospital care,<br />

psychiatric care, family care, primary <strong>and</strong>

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