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Donepezil, rivastigmine, galantamine and memantine for ...

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44<br />

Clinical effectiveness<br />

Comparison:<br />

Outcome:<br />

Study<br />

Corey-bloom 1998 riv<br />

Rosler 1999 riv<br />

06 Rivastigmine: ADAS-cog change from baseline<br />

01 Rivastigmine 1–4 mg<br />

Treatment<br />

n<br />

233<br />

243<br />

Mean<br />

(SD)<br />

2.36 (6.00)<br />

1.37 (6.90)<br />

Control<br />

n<br />

234<br />

239<br />

found when combining the studies <strong>for</strong> the<br />

6–12 mg/day dose group ( 2 test 8.17, df = 1,<br />

p = 0.0043), so the statistically significant<br />

treatment effect seen <strong>for</strong> the fixed-effect model<br />

combining the two trials with this dosage group is<br />

not valid (WMD –3.08, 95% CI –3.78 to –2.38,<br />

p < 0.00001) (see Figure 12). Exploration of this<br />

statistical heterogeneity by subgroup analysis was<br />

not appropriate owing to the small numbers of<br />

included trials in the meta-analysis.<br />

[Commercial/academic confidential in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

removed]<br />

MMSE<br />

Three of the four published studies reported<br />

MMSE as an outcome measure (Table 16). Two of<br />

these reported mean baseline scores of 19–20, 57,58<br />

but baseline values were not reported in the other<br />

study. The first study compared two fixed-dose<br />

groups (4 <strong>and</strong> 6 mg/day) with placebo, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

other two studies compared two flexible dose<br />

groups (1–4 <strong>and</strong> 6–12 mg/day) with placebo. The<br />

Mean<br />

(SD)<br />

4.09 (2.90)<br />

1.34 (7.00)<br />

WMD<br />

(95% CI fixed)<br />

Weight<br />

%<br />

67.8<br />

32.2<br />

WMD<br />

(95% CI fixed)<br />

–1.73 (–2.59 to –0.87)<br />

0.03 (–1.21 to 1.27)<br />

Total (95% CI)<br />

Test <strong>for</strong> heterogeneity 2 476 473 100.0 –1.16 (–1.87 to –0.46)<br />

= 5.24, df = 1, p = 0.022<br />

Test <strong>for</strong> overall effect z = 3.24, p = 0.001<br />

FIGURE 11 ADAS-cog change from baseline with <strong>rivastigmine</strong> 1–4 mg<br />

Comparison:<br />

Outcome:<br />

Study<br />

Corey-bloom 1998 riv<br />

Rosler 1999 riv<br />

06 Rivastigmine: ADAS-cog change from baseline<br />

02 Rivastigmine 6–12 mg<br />

Treatment<br />

n<br />

231<br />

243<br />

Mean<br />

(SD)<br />

0.31 (5.90)<br />

–0.26 (6.80)<br />

Control<br />

n<br />

234<br />

239<br />

–10 –5 0 5 10<br />

Favours treatment Favours control<br />

Mean<br />

(SD)<br />

4.09 (2.90)<br />

1.34 (7.00)<br />

67.9<br />

32.1<br />

–3.78 (–4.63 to –2.93)<br />

–1.60 (–2.83 to –0.37)<br />

Total (95% CI)<br />

Test <strong>for</strong> heterogeneity 2 474 473 100.0 –3.08 (–3.78 to –2.38)<br />

= 8.17, df = 1, p = 0.0043<br />

Test <strong>for</strong> overall effect z = 8.65, p < 0.00001<br />

FIGURE 12 ADAS-cog change from baseline with <strong>rivastigmine</strong> 6–12 mg<br />

WMD<br />

(95% CI fixed)<br />

Weight<br />

%<br />

–10 –5 0 5 10<br />

Favours treatment Favours control<br />

WMD<br />

(95% CI fixed)<br />

fixed-dose study did not report any statistically<br />

significant differences between treatment groups<br />

<strong>and</strong> placebo <strong>for</strong> this outcome measure. Both of the<br />

flexible dose studies reported a statistically<br />

significant difference between the high dose<br />

treatment group <strong>and</strong> placebo. The high-dose<br />

participants in both studies had a mean dose of<br />

~10 mg/day. Corey-Bloom <strong>and</strong> colleagues 57 used<br />

observed case analysis <strong>for</strong> this outcome measure,<br />

<strong>and</strong> found an improvement in the high-dose<br />

group of 0.30 points, compared with a decline in<br />

placebo participants of –0.79 points. The other<br />

flexible dose study 58 used ITT analysis, <strong>and</strong><br />

reported an improvement in the high-dose group<br />

of 0.21 points compared with a decline in placebo<br />

participants’ scores of –0.47. In this study, the lowdose<br />

participants also showed a decline in MMSE<br />

score, with a mean change of –0.62, but this was<br />

not statistically significantly different from the<br />

placebo group.<br />

[Commercial/academic confidential in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

removed]

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