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Donepezil, rivastigmine, galantamine and memantine for ...

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126<br />

Economic analysis<br />

TABLE 73 Profile of mean estimated 5-year cost related to AD progression, by treatment option<br />

Treatment Mean drug cost Mean increment Mean cost <strong>for</strong> Mean cost <strong>for</strong> FTC<br />

(£) monitoring most (£) pre-FTC (£) (£)<br />

Deterministic analysis<br />

Usual care None None 8,408 14,180<br />

<strong>Donepezil</strong> 10 mg 3,445 596 8,895 12,788<br />

Rivastigmine 6–12 mg 2,450 597 8,907 12,756<br />

Galantamine 24 mg 3,033 598 8,938 12,666<br />

Mean difference; usual care<br />

versus drug treatment<br />

Probabilistic analysis<br />

+2,976 +597 +505 –1,443<br />

Usual care None None 8,738 13,175<br />

<strong>Donepezil</strong> 10 mg 3,271 610 9,238 12,012<br />

Rivastigmine 6–12 mg 2,518 611 9,247 12,048<br />

Galantamine 24 mg 3,103 608 9,258 11,706<br />

Mean difference; usual care<br />

versus drug treatment<br />

3,041 610 453 –1,277<br />

incremental cost. The difference in time spent in<br />

the health state FTC over the 5-year period ranges<br />

from 1.42 months (donepezil) to 1.73 months<br />

(<strong>galantamine</strong> 24 mg), across all analyses.<br />

Deterministic results do not include a measure of<br />

uncertainty <strong>for</strong> input parameters (e.g. costs,<br />

utilities), <strong>and</strong> importantly do not include any<br />

variation in the risk profile of the patient group<br />

(assuming the typical patient has a risk profile<br />

reflective of an ADAS-cog score at 24), there<strong>for</strong>e<br />

the probabilistic results are likely to be the more<br />

useful of the cost-effectiveness results presented<br />

here.<br />

Difference in incremental benefits (QALYs)<br />

0.14<br />

0.12<br />

0.10<br />

0.08<br />

0.06<br />

0.04<br />

0.02<br />

–0.02<br />

–0.04<br />

Table 73 presents the mean estimated 5-year costs<br />

associated with the intervention <strong>and</strong> costs<br />

associated with long-term care. The intervention<br />

does offer a potential reduction in the costs<br />

associated with FTC but these potential cost<br />

savings do not compensate <strong>for</strong> the additional drug<br />

<strong>and</strong> monitoring costs.<br />

Figure 20 presents data from the SHTAC<br />

probabilistic analysis (base case) on the<br />

incremental costs <strong>and</strong> benefits across simulations,<br />

using the cost-effectiveness plane (plotting<br />

incremental cost <strong>and</strong> incremental benefits from<br />

simulations). The figure shows the simulations <strong>for</strong><br />

0<br />

–1500 –1000 –500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500<br />

Difference in incremental cost (£)<br />

<strong>Donepezil</strong> 10 mg<br />

Rivastigmine 6–12 mg<br />

Galantamine 24 mg<br />

FIGURE 20 Cost-effectiveness planes <strong>for</strong> donepezil, <strong>rivastigmine</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>galantamine</strong>, showing incremental costs <strong>and</strong> benefits from<br />

SHTAC model analysis (base case)

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