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THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY ARTS AND SCIENCES ...

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Three statistical methods were used to estimate the denitrification rate, linear regressions<br />

with Monte Carlo simulation, Multi Regression analysis and the development of a neural<br />

network. Denitrification rates were found to be dependent on the WFP as well as organic<br />

carbon. For the linear regressions a predictive relationship could not be established<br />

between WFP and the denitrification rate. In addition, although an increase in organic<br />

carbon content is typically assumed to increase denitrification, a linear relationship<br />

between organic carbon and the denitrification rate could not be obtained unless the<br />

additional controlling parameters are fixed. Stable isotope data is used to predict the<br />

percent of nitrate removed due to denitrification. This method serves as an alternative to<br />

estimate the loss of nitrate due to denitrification, but is unable to estimate a rate of<br />

denitrification.<br />

The developed methods are then applied to three study areas in Jacksonville and the<br />

estimated denitrification rates from the methods are compared. Overall the results from<br />

the each of the methods except for the multi-regression analysis are a reasonable estimate<br />

of the denitrification rate. Due to the complexity of denitrification it is the Neural<br />

Networks that are able to best estimate the denitrification rate. Thus by using easily<br />

available parameters and existing data the models are able to match or improve the<br />

accuracy in predicting the denitrification rate at a fraction of the cost without requiring<br />

site specific data.<br />

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