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DANISH EMISSION INVENTORIES FOR ROAD TRANSPORT ...

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270<br />

Annex 17: Uncertainty estimates<br />

Uncertainty estimation, CO2<br />

Gas<br />

Base year emission<br />

Input<br />

data<br />

Year t emission<br />

Input<br />

data<br />

Activity data<br />

uncertainty<br />

Input<br />

data<br />

Emission factor<br />

uncertainty<br />

Input<br />

data<br />

Combined<br />

uncertainty<br />

Combined uncertainty<br />

as % of total<br />

national emissions in<br />

year t<br />

Type A sensitivity<br />

Type B sensitivity<br />

Uncertainty in trend<br />

in national emissions<br />

introduced by emission<br />

factor uncertainty<br />

Uncertainty in trend<br />

in national emissions<br />

introduced by activity<br />

data uncertainty<br />

Uncertainty introduced<br />

into the trend<br />

in total national<br />

emissions<br />

Gg Gg % % % % % % % % %<br />

Road transport CO2 9282 12108 2 5 5,385 3,990 0,06894462 0,8911 0,3447 2,5205 2,5440<br />

Military CO2 119 107 2 5 5,385 0,035 -0,0026576 0,0079 -0,0133 0,0223 0,0259<br />

Railways CO2 297 242 2 5 5,385 0,080 -0,0084443 0,0178 -0,0422 0,0504 0,0658<br />

Navigation (small boats) CO2 48 99 41 5 41,304 0,251 0,00307343 0,0073 0,0154 0,4242 0,4245<br />

Navigation (large vessels) CO2 748 494 11 5 12,083 0,365 -0,0298481 0,0363 -0,1492 0,5653 0,5847<br />

Fisheries CO2 591 575 2 5 5,385 0,189 -0,0099746 0,0423 -0,0499 0,1197 0,1296<br />

Agriculture CO2 1272 1273 24 5 24,515 1,910 -0,0189445 0,0937 -0,0947 3,1800 3,1814<br />

Forestry CO2 36 17 30 5 30,414 0,032 -0,0019086 0,0013 -0,0095 0,0530 0,0539<br />

Industry (mobile) CO2 839 1037 41 5 41,304 2,620 0,00199985 0,0763 0,0100 4,4243 4,4243<br />

Residential CO2 39 63 35 5 35,355 0,136 0,00116245 0,0046 0,0058 0,2287 0,2288<br />

Commercial/Institutional CO2 74 173 35 5 35,355 0,374 0,00619781 0,0127 0,0310 0,6298 0,6306<br />

Civil aviation CO2 243 156 10 5 11,180 0,106 -0,0100308 0,0115 -0,0502 0,1620 0,1696<br />

Total 13.587 16343 26,699 36,7952<br />

Total uncertainties Year (%): 5,167 Trend (%): 6,066

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