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DANISH EMISSION INVENTORIES FOR ROAD TRANSPORT ...

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ook. For previous years the background data consist of LTO/aircraft type<br />

statistics from Copenhagen Airport and total LTO numbers from the Danish<br />

Transport Authority. With appropriate assumptions a consistent time-series<br />

of emissions is produced back to 1985 using also the findings from a Danish<br />

city-pair emission inventory in 1998 (Winther, 2001b).<br />

National sea transport is split into regional ferries, small ferries, freight<br />

transport between Denmark and Greenland/Faroe Islands, and other national<br />

sea transport. For regional ferries, the fuel consumption and emissions<br />

are calculated as a product of number of round trips, sailing time per round<br />

trip, engine size, engine load factor and fuel consumption/emission factor.<br />

For small ferries, freight transport between Denmark and Greenland/Faroe<br />

Islands, and other national sea transport, the calculations are simply fuel<br />

based using the fuel consumption findings from Danish surveys in combination<br />

with average fuel related emission factors.<br />

Non-road working machines and equipment, and recreational craft are<br />

grouped in the following sectors: Agriculture, Forestry, Industry, Household/Gardening,<br />

Commercial/Institutional and Inland Waterways. In general<br />

the emissions are calculated by combining information on the number of<br />

different machine types and their respective load factors, engine sizes, annual<br />

working hours and emission factors.<br />

For military, railways and fisheries the emissions are calculated as the product<br />

of fuel use and emission factors.<br />

Fuel sales data are obtained from the Danish energy statistics provided by<br />

the Danish Energy Agency (DEA). For road transport and aviation the emission<br />

results are adjusted in a fuel balance to ensure that all statistical fuel<br />

sold is accounted for in the calculations. For national sea transport, the fuel<br />

consumption of heavy oil and gas oil is calculated directly by DCE. Fuel adjustments<br />

are made in the fishery sector (gas oil) and stationary industry<br />

sources (heavy fuel oil) in order to maintain the grand national energy balance.<br />

In order to comply with the IPCC guidelines the fuel consumption by<br />

vessels between Denmark and Greenland/Faroe Islands are subtracted from<br />

the DEA fuel sales figures for international sea transport, and added to the<br />

national part of the emission inventories.<br />

Emissions from road transport<br />

Set in relation to the Danish national emission totals, the largest emission<br />

shares for road transport are noted for NOX, CO, CO2, NMVOC, TSP, PM2.5<br />

and PM10. In 2010 the emission percentages were 34, 27, 26, 15, 10, 10 and 9,<br />

respectively. The emissions of NH3, N2O, CH4 and SO2 have marginal shares<br />

of 1.9, 2.0, 0.2 and 0.5 %, respectively.<br />

From 1990 to 2010 the calculated emission changes for CO2 (and fuel use),<br />

CH4 and N2O are 30, -74 and 29 %. For NOX, NMVOC, CO and particulates<br />

(exhaust only: Size is below PM2.5), the 1985-2010 emission changes are -52, -<br />

84, -81, and -65 %.<br />

The most significant emission changes from 1985 to 2010 occur for SO2 and<br />

NH3. For SO2 the emission drop is 99 % (due to reduced sulphur content in<br />

the diesel fuel), whereas the NH3 emissions increase by 2232 % (due to the<br />

introduction of catalyst cars).<br />

7

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