Rating Models and Validation - Oesterreichische Nationalbank
Rating Models and Validation - Oesterreichische Nationalbank
Rating Models and Validation - Oesterreichische Nationalbank
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
<strong>Rating</strong> <strong>Models</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Validation</strong><br />
aspects of the requirements imposed on banks using the IRB approach under<br />
Basel II include: 75<br />
— Design of the bankÕs internal processes which interface with the rating procedure<br />
as well as their inclusion in organizational guidelines<br />
— Use of the rating in risk management (in credit decision-making, risk-based<br />
pricing, rating-based competence systems, rating-based limit systems, etc.)<br />
— Conformity of the rating procedures with the bankÕs credit risk strategy<br />
— Functional separation of responsibility for ratings from the front office<br />
(except in retail business)<br />
— Employee qualifications<br />
— User acceptance of the procedure<br />
— The userÕs ability to exercise freedom of interpretation in the rating procedure<br />
(for this purpose, it is necessary to define suitable procedures <strong>and</strong><br />
process indicators such as the number of overrides)<br />
Banks which intend to use an IRB approach will be required to document<br />
these criteria completely <strong>and</strong> in a verifiable way. Regardless of this requirement,<br />
however, complete <strong>and</strong> verifiable documentation of how rating models are used<br />
should form an integral component of in-house use tests for any bank using a<br />
rating system.<br />
6.2 Quantitative <strong>Validation</strong><br />
In statistical models, quantitative validation represents a substantial part of<br />
model development (cf. section 5.2). For heuristic <strong>and</strong> causal models, on the<br />
other h<strong>and</strong>, an empirical data set is not yet available during rating development.<br />
Therefore, the quantitative validation step is omitted during model development<br />
in this family of models.<br />
However, quantitative validation is required for all rating models. For this<br />
purpose, validation should primarily use the data gained during practical operation<br />
of the model. Comparison or benchmark data can also be included as a<br />
supplement. This is particularly advisable when the performance of multiple<br />
rating models is to be compared using a common sample.<br />
The criteria to be reviewed in quantitative validation are as follows: 76<br />
— Discriminatory power<br />
— Calibration<br />
— Stability<br />
A sufficient data set for quantitative validation is available once all loans have<br />
been rated for the first time (or re-rated) <strong>and</strong> observed over the forecasting<br />
horizon of the rating model; this is usually the case approximately two years<br />
after a new rating model is introduced.<br />
6.2.1 Discriminatory Power<br />
The term Òdiscriminatory powerÓ refers to the fundamental ability of a rating<br />
model to differentiate between good <strong>and</strong> bad cases. 77 The term is often used<br />
as a synonym for Òclassification accuracy.Ó In this context, the categories good<br />
75 DEUTSCHE BUNDESBANK, Monthly Report for September 2003, Approaches to the validation of internal rating systems.<br />
76 DEUTSCHE BUNDESBANK, Monthly Report for September 2003, Approaches to the validation of internal rating systems.<br />
77 Instead of being restricted to borrower ratings, the descriptions below also apply to rating exposures in pools. For this reason, the<br />
terms used are not differentiated.<br />
98 Guidelines on Credit Risk Management