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Influenza Surveillance in Victoria, 2005<br />

Annual report<br />

Figure 4. Respiratory viruses detected from<br />

sentinel patients with influenza-like illness,<br />

Victoria, 2005<br />

Figure 6. Laboratory confirmed influenza,<br />

Victoria, 2005, by age group <strong>and</strong> notification<br />

source<br />

180<br />

100<br />

160<br />

156<br />

90<br />

Non-GPSS<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> specimens<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

26<br />

9<br />

Influenza A Influenza B RSV Adenovirus Picornavirus Parainfluenza<br />

virus<br />

Respiratory virus detected<br />

4<br />

45<br />

10<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> notified cases<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

0-4<br />

5-9<br />

10-14<br />

15-19<br />

20-24<br />

25-29<br />

30-34<br />

35-39<br />

40-44<br />

45-49<br />

50-54<br />

55-59<br />

60-64<br />

Age group (years)<br />

65-69<br />

GPSS<br />

70-74<br />

75-79<br />

80-84<br />

85+<br />

GPSS<br />

General practice sentinel surveillance.<br />

There was a sharper <strong>and</strong> later peak in infl uenza<br />

type A notifi cations from the general practitioner<br />

sentinel surveillance compared to other notifi cations<br />

(Figure 5). Relatively few notifications <strong>of</strong> laboratory<br />

confi rmed infl uenza were received outside<br />

the GP sentinel surveillance period; 27 cases from<br />

1 January to 1 May <strong>and</strong> 13 cases from 3 October<br />

to 30 November. Only one outbreak <strong>of</strong> infl uenza<br />

was notifi ed in the year up to 30 November 2005.<br />

Reported in January, it occurred in an aged care<br />

facility with 19 people ill, <strong>of</strong> whom seven had laboratory<br />

confi rmed infl uenza.<br />

Figure 5. Laboratory confirmed influenza,<br />

Victoria, 2005, by type <strong>and</strong> notification source<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> notifications<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Non GPSS type A<br />

Non GPSS type B<br />

GPSS type A<br />

GPSS type B<br />

18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39<br />

Surveillance week<br />

Melbourne Medical Locum Service<br />

During the surveillance period from week 18 to 39,<br />

MMLS recorded a total <strong>of</strong> 26,775 consultations <strong>of</strong><br />

which 317 (1.2%) were for an ILI. The average ILI<br />

per 1,000 consultations was 11.8. Figure 2 shows<br />

a comparison <strong>of</strong> ILI rates for the infl uenza season<br />

between metropolitan <strong>and</strong> rural sentinel surveillance<br />

<strong>and</strong> MMLS data. MMLS surveillance continues all<br />

year <strong>and</strong> demonstrated a decline in ILI rates to<br />

below 2.0 ILI per 1,000 consultations by week 41.<br />

Other influenza related studies<br />

The evaluation <strong>of</strong> infl uenza surveillance was completed<br />

in 2005 <strong>and</strong> concluded with fi ve recommendations<br />

summarised in the Box.<br />

The review <strong>of</strong> relevant available emergency department<br />

<strong>and</strong> hospital admission data concluded that,<br />

while these data accurately refl ected ILI activity in<br />

the community, they were not available in a timely<br />

fashion as currently collected, reviewed <strong>and</strong> made<br />

available. Each <strong>of</strong> the fi ve data sources had different<br />

utilities. All contributed to describing inter-p<strong>and</strong>emic<br />

infl uenza seasonal activity but MMLS surveillance<br />

was the most effi cient <strong>and</strong> could be managed with<br />

minimal extra resources, although it did not provide<br />

specimens for viral testing. 6<br />

GPSS<br />

General practice sentinel surveillance.<br />

Discussion<br />

There was a marked difference in the age distribution<br />

<strong>of</strong> laboratory confi rmed influenza notifi cations<br />

from general practitioner sentinel surveillance compared<br />

to other notifi cation sources (Figure 6). Nearly<br />

one in four cases notifi ed from non-sentinel practice<br />

surveillance was aged less than fi ve years <strong>and</strong> there<br />

was a higher proportion <strong>of</strong> cases aged 65 years or<br />

older among non-sentinel surveillance notifi cations.<br />

As measured by ILI rates from the GP Sentinel<br />

Surveillance Scheme, infl uenza activity in 2005<br />

remained within the normal seasonal level with a<br />

well-defi ned peak <strong>of</strong> 13.1 ILI per 1,000 consultations<br />

during July. Although the initial increase in ILI<br />

activity occurred earlier for both sentinel <strong>and</strong> MMLS<br />

surveillance than for laboratory notifi cations, the<br />

CDI Vol 30 No 1 2006 141

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