Tropical Storm Nicole - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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Conditions were, at that time, favourable for gradual development into another tropical cyclone and rainfall was expected to continue over the island for another two days. Throughout the night, radar reports indicated that periods of heavy showers and thunderstorms affected all western, central and southeastern parishes. These were forecast to continue during the day and for the next 2-3 days as Tropical Depression #16 (TD#16) formed west of the island. Marine interests were advised to look out for above-normal wave heights, strong, gusty winds, showers and thunderstorms. On September 28, Tropical Depression #16 was the main feature across the north-western Caribbean generating numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms over much of the basin north of 12°N between 65°W and 89°W. This widespread area of convection was supported aloft by an anticyclonic circulation centred near 18°N, 75°W that extended an upper-level ridge axis southeast to north-eastern Venezuela near 10°N, 62°W. As TD#16 steered north-northeastward, 10-15 knot east-southeast trade winds were expected to resume over the basin east of 72°W with surface troughing forecast to drift over the western Caribbean between 80°W and 85°W through early Saturday. T.S. Nicole Dissipated With the depression moving towards the north on September 28, rainfall continued across the country and was forecast to peak in intensity within the next 24 hours although continuing through to October 1. Strong winds and heavy rains associated with the depression were expected to occur “a couple hundred miles to the east and southeast of the centre” as it moved across Cuba. By 5:00 a.m. the next day, September 29, the centre of the tropical cyclone emerged over the Straits of Florida, becoming Tropical Storm Nicole by 2:00 p.m. and dissipating by 5:00 p.m. The broad band of showers and thunderstorms left behind, continued to produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall across Jamaica, forecast to continue for another two days. The Flash Flood Warning was continued. 2
On September 30, most parishes continued to experience scattered light to moderate and sometimes heavy showers and thunderstorms. These, however, showed gradual reduction on October 1-3; hence the Flash Flood Warning was lifted at 5:00 p.m. on October 3. The broad area of low-pressure had begun to drift northward and away from Jamaica. Radar Imagery: Jamaica’s Doppler Weather Surveillance Radar was in active operation for most of the severe weather event, although removed from service from 9:00 p.m. on September 28 to 11:00 a.m. on September 30, and again at 9:00 p.m. on September 30 to the end of the period due to power supply issues. Figure 1 and Figure 2 display radar images showing the levels of rainfall impacting the island at the peak of the event on September 27 and 28. Detailed radar images for the extent of the event can be found in Appendix A Figure 1: Radar Composite - Rainfall on September 27 and Affected Communities Source: Meteorological Service, Jamaica, ODPEM 3
Page 1 and 2: JAMAICA MACRO SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND EN
Page 3 and 4: TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION .
Page 5 and 6: LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Radar Com
Page 7 and 8: Executive Summary Description of th
Page 9 and 10: Infrastructure As in the case with
Page 11 and 12: Education Total damage to education
Page 13: I. INTRODUCTION The Meteorological
Page 17 and 18: Table 1: Wind Analysis Parish Stati
Page 19 and 20: • Clarendon - Grimmith recorded 3
Page 21 and 22: The National Aeronautics and Space
Page 23 and 24: In the aftermath of the event, the
Page 25 and 26: Major landslide on the Maggotty mai
Page 27 and 28: The entrance to the Apple Valley Pa
Page 29 and 30: Figure 8: Areas Critically Affected
Page 31 and 32: Figure 9: Communities Affected by T
Page 33 and 34: elated to the weather event were tr
Page 35 and 36: At the time of the event, the predo
Page 37 and 38: Figure 10: Damage to Educational In
Page 39 and 40: C. Public Buildings a) Correctional
Page 41 and 42: Figure 12: Summary of Damage to the
Page 43 and 44: 3. Vector Control - Comprehensive p
Page 45 and 46: Figure 13: Total Damage to Agricult
Page 47 and 48: Table 15: Preliminary Costs of Dama
Page 49 and 50: Table 17: Preliminary Estimates of
Page 51 and 52: B. Tourism Sector General Overview
Page 53 and 54: Damage Preliminary cost of damage i
Page 55 and 56: IV. INFRASTRUCTURE The country’s
Page 57 and 58: islandwide. The number of customers
Page 59 and 60: The NWC was able to restore most of
Page 61 and 62: Table 23: Preliminary Cost To Re-Op
Page 63 and 64: As a result trips were shortened an
Page 65 and 66:
events (Hurricane Ivan, 2004; Hurri
Page 67 and 68:
Figure 18). Seagrass beds along wit
Page 69 and 70:
Figure 19: Eroded section of Long B
Page 71 and 72:
Waste Significant volumes of waste
Page 73 and 74:
VI. MACROECONOMIC IMPACT OF TROPICA
Page 75 and 76:
unemployment levels; and 2) reduced
Page 77 and 78:
January April July October January
Page 79 and 80:
domestic market, business and consu
Page 81 and 82:
State of Emergency in sections of K
Page 83 and 84:
mainly to a reduction in outflow of
Page 85 and 86:
• a $4.0 million grant to assist
Page 87 and 88:
VII. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Page 89 and 90:
Proposed Projects Apart from projec
Page 91 and 92:
APPENDIX 79
Page 93 and 94:
RADAR SUMMARY DATE : September 26,
Page 95 and 96:
Page 97 and 98:
Page 99 and 100:
Page 101 and 102:
Page 103 and 104:
Page 105 and 106:
Page 107 and 108:
APPENDIX 3 Depression in New Market
Page 109:
Blocked drain 97
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Tropical Storm Nicole - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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