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Tropical Storm Nicole - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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domestic market, business and consumer confidence was boosted by the successful signing <strong>of</strong> a 27-<br />

month Stand-By Agreement between <strong>Jamaica</strong> and the International Monetary Fund. These<br />

developments facilitated:<br />

the central bank’s removal from its list <strong>of</strong> Open Market Operation (OMO) Instruments, all tenors<br />

above 30-days as at January 16, 2010; and<br />

a reduction in interest rates. The market determined 182-day Treasury Bill yield fell to 9.26 per cent,<br />

7.54 percentage points lower that at the start <strong>of</strong> the year. Through three moves, the BOJ reduced<br />

the rate applicable to its 30-day OMO Instrument, by a combined total <strong>of</strong> 150 basis points to 9.0 per<br />

cent.<br />

3. Economic Activity<br />

For the first half <strong>of</strong> 2010, real GDP declined by 1.5 per cent relatively to the corresponding period<br />

<strong>of</strong> 2009, compared with the 3.6 per cent contraction recorded in January-June 2009. Economic<br />

performance during 2010 was mainly influenced by the protracted effects <strong>of</strong> the global economic<br />

crisis on the domestic economy. Aggregate demand remained weak as the unemployment levels<br />

rose and purchasing power <strong>of</strong> individuals declined. In addition, the economy was also adversely<br />

impacted by the effects <strong>of</strong>: (a) drought conditions which prevailed during the second half <strong>of</strong> 2009<br />

and the first quarter <strong>of</strong> 2010; (b) security operations in Kingston and St. Catherine and the<br />

associated ramifications during the second quarter <strong>of</strong> 2010; as well as (c) the JDX programme on<br />

financial institutions.<br />

The decline in the economy was reflected in both the Goods Producing and Services Industries<br />

which fell by 3.2 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively. All Goods Producing Industries declined<br />

with the exception <strong>of</strong> Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing which grew by 1.9 per cent. Within the<br />

Services Industry, the Finance & Insurance Services, Wholesale & Retail Trade Repairs and<br />

Installation <strong>of</strong> Machinery and Electricity & Water industries recorded the largest declines <strong>of</strong> 4.5 per<br />

cent, 2.1 per cent and 1.8 per cent, respectively. The Hotel and Restaurants industry, the industry<br />

which captures most <strong>of</strong> tourism’s direct contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP), grew by<br />

2.9 per cent.<br />

Real value added in the Agriculture industry grew by an estimated 1.9 per cent. Performance in the<br />

first two quarters was affected by drought conditions which began in the latter half <strong>of</strong> 2009.<br />

67

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