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Tropical Storm Nicole - Planning Institute of Jamaica

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VI. MACROECONOMIC IMPACT OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE<br />

C. SUMMARY OF THE DAMAGE AND LOSSES<br />

The total cost <strong>of</strong> damage and losses associated with <strong>Tropical</strong> <strong>Storm</strong> <strong>Nicole</strong> was estimated at<br />

$20.58 billion (US $239.6 million 19 ), disaggregated as $19.51 billion in damage and $1.07<br />

billion in losses 20 . With regard to total damage, publicly owned properties accounted for<br />

$19.32 billion or 93.9 per cent, while privately owned properties accounted for the remaining<br />

$1.26 billion.<br />

The approximately $20.6 billion in total cost represents 1.9 per cent <strong>of</strong> 2009 current GDP.<br />

This was, however, dwarfed by the 8.0 per cent <strong>of</strong> GDP that Hurricane Ivan racked up in<br />

2004, but similar to 2.0 per cent <strong>of</strong> GDP as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>Tropical</strong> <strong>Storm</strong> Gustav in 2008.<br />

Consequently, the shock to the economy associated with <strong>Tropical</strong> <strong>Storm</strong> <strong>Nicole</strong> caused a<br />

detraction <strong>of</strong> 0.1 percentage point from GDP estimates, resulting in a new projected annual<br />

GDP change <strong>of</strong> -0.6 per cent.<br />

As evidenced by the sums provided in Table 25 the country’s infrastructure was severely<br />

affected, with damage amounting to $18 089.0 million and losses <strong>of</strong> $28.4 million, translating<br />

in a total cost <strong>of</strong> $18,117.4 million. This represented 88 per cent <strong>of</strong> the total cost. Costs<br />

associated with the impact on the productive sector ($763.0 million), social sector ($1 641.6<br />

million), the Environment ($7.6 million) and expenditure on emergency operations ($48.9<br />

million) accounted for the remaining 11.9 per cent (see Table 25). Damage to the<br />

transport/roads and bridges was the most significant. The roads under the responsibility <strong>of</strong><br />

the National Works Agency were the worst affected, followed by Parish Council and farm<br />

roads. While the devastation was islandwide, the parishes in the western section <strong>of</strong> the island<br />

were the hardest hit.<br />

19 Exchange rate: J $85.89 = US $1 (Bank <strong>of</strong> <strong>Jamaica</strong> Exchange Rate for September)<br />

20 The estimates delineated for losses may be underestimated as at the time <strong>of</strong> writing the relevant data were<br />

not fully tabulated.<br />

61

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