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Subsampling estimates of the Lasso distribution.

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44 <strong>Subsampling</strong><br />

The consistency <strong>of</strong> ˆL n,b as an estimator to J n (·, P ) is derived under<br />

Assumption D.<br />

J(P ) as n → ∞.<br />

There exists a limit law J(P ) such that J n (P ) converges weakly to<br />

Theorem 5.1.0.12. (Politis et al., 1999, Theorem 2.2.1) Assume that assumption D<br />

holds. Also assume τ b /τ n → n, b → ∞, and b/n → 0 as n → ∞. Then <strong>the</strong> following are<br />

true:<br />

(i) If x is a continuity point <strong>of</strong> J(·, P ), <strong>the</strong>n<br />

ˆL n,b (x) → P J(x, P )<br />

(ii) If J(·, P ) is continuous, <strong>the</strong>n<br />

∣<br />

sup ∣ˆL n,b (x) − J n (x, P ) ∣ → P 0<br />

(iii) Let<br />

Correspondingly, define<br />

x∈R<br />

c n,b (1 − α) = inf{x ∈ R|ˆL n,b (x) ≥ 1 − α}.<br />

c(1 − α, P ) = inf{x ∈ R|J(x, P ) ≥ 1 − α}.<br />

Then<br />

(<br />

1 − α − ∆J(c(1 − α, P )) ≤ lim inf P n→∞<br />

≤ lim sup P<br />

n→∞<br />

≤ 1 − α.<br />

)<br />

τ n (ˆθ n − θ(P ) ≤ c n,b (1 − α))<br />

)<br />

(<br />

τ n (ˆθ n − θ(P )) ≤ c n,b (1 − α)<br />

If J(·, P ) is continuous at c(1 − α, P ), <strong>the</strong>n<br />

(<br />

)<br />

lim P τ n (ˆθ n − θ(P )) ≤ c n,b (1 − α)<br />

n→∞<br />

(iv) Assume that τ b (ˆθ n − θ(P )) → 0 almost surely and that<br />

∞∑<br />

exp{−d(n/b)} < ∞,<br />

n=1<br />

= 1 − α<br />

for every d > 0, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> convergence in i and ii hold with probability one.<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong>. Define<br />

U n (x) = U n (x, P ) = N −1<br />

n<br />

N n<br />

∑<br />

i=1<br />

{<br />

) }<br />

1 τ b<br />

(ˆθn,b,i − θ(P ) ≤ x<br />

To prove i, we show that U n (x) converges in probablity to J(x, P ) for every continuity<br />

point x <strong>of</strong> J(x, P ). Note that<br />

ˆL n,b (x) = N −1<br />

n<br />

N n<br />

∑<br />

i=1<br />

{<br />

1 τ b (ˆθ n,b,i − θ(P )) + τ b (θ(P ) − ˆθ<br />

}<br />

n ) .

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