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Climate 179 Table 10.2.5 Changes in Temperature, Precipitation and Evaporation Year Average Temperature Average Precipitation Changes in Temperature Increase 1 Precipitation Increase 2 Evaporation 3 W M Ave W M Ave W M Ave W M Ave W M Ave °C °C mm/month mm/month Base 1990 19.9 28.7 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 418 179 0 0 0 0.6 14.6 83.7 2030 21.4 29.4 27.0 1.3 0.7 1.3 18 465 189 +6 47 10 0.9 15.8 83.9 2075 22.0 30.4 28.3 2.1 1.7 2.6 00 530 207 -12 112 28 Inf 135 87.9 Source : Huq et. at. (1999) Notes : (1) W stands for witner, M stands for monsoon, Ave stands for average, and Inf stands for infinity. (2) Estimated values obtained by correlating model output data with the observed data. (3) Estimated based on model output data regarding rate of temperature change. (4) Estimated using Langs Index and expressed in terms of Aridity Index. Table 10.2.6 The Fluctuations of Values of Climatic Parameters Considered by Huq et. al. (1999) with Respect to their Values under Base-year (1990) Situation Parameter 2030 2075 Winter Monsoon Winter Monsoon Temperature (°C) 2 0.65 3 1.5 Evaporation (%) 10 2 16 5 Precipitation (%) -3 11 -37 28 Discharge (%) -5 20 -67 51 Watershed development (%) 6 100 Sea level rise (cm) 30 70 Source: Huq et. al. (1999) 10.3 Natural Disaster Table 10.3.1 Chronology of Major Cyclonic Storms and Tidal Surges in Bangladesh Year of Month and Date Affected Occurrence of Occurrence Area Nature of the Phenomenon Approximate Loss/Damage 1797 May-June Chittagong Most severe Every hut levelled and 2 vessels sunk in Chittagong port 1822 May Barisal Most severe 40,000 people killed and 100,000 cattle lost 1876 October Meghna Most severe storm wave (10-45 feet) A great number of people killed and estuary enormous property lost by tidal bore 1897 October Chittagong Hurricane reached maximum 14,000 people were killed and another intensity with series of storm waves 18,000 died in subsequent epidemics 1960 Oct. 9-10 Eastern Severe cyclonic storm 125 miles per 3,000 people reported killed Meghna hour, maximum storm wave 10 feet 1960 Oct. 30-31 Chittagong Severe cyclonic storm 130 miles per 70% buildings in Hatiya blown off, 2 large hour, maximum storm wave 20 feet ocean liners capsized in Karnaphuly river and 8149 people killed [Contd.]
180 People's Report 2002-2003 : Bangladesh Environment Table 10.3.1 Year of Month and Date Affected Occurrence of Occurrence Area Source : MES (1999) Nature of the Phenomenon 1963 May 28-29 Chittagong- Severe cyclonic storm with storm 11,520 people killed Cox's Bazar wave 8 - 12 feet in Chittagong. Maximum speed 125 miles per hour and in Cox's Bazar 102. Approximate Loss/Damage 1965 May 11-12 Barisal Most severe cyclonic storm, Total loss of lives 19,270 maximum speed 100 miles per hour, with storm wave 12 feet 1965 December Cox's Bazar Severe cyclonic storm with storm 40,000 salt beds in Cox's Bazar inundated. 14-15 wave 8-10 feet. Maximum speed 130 873 people killed. miles per hour 1970 November Meghna Most severe cyclonic storm Damage to crops and property. About 12-13 estuary accompanied with storm surge 10-33 three lakh lives lost. ft Reported speed 138 miles per hour 1985 May 24-25 Chittagong- Severe cyclonic storm of 154 kms/hr Lives lost: 11,069 Noakhali and surge of 14 ft. Houses damaged: 94,379 coast Livestock lost: 135,033 1988 Nov. 19 Khulna Severe cyclonic storm with core wind People killed: 5,708 coast near speed 160 kms per hour, storm surge Deer killed: 15,000 Raimangal 14.5 feet at Mongla port Royal Bengal: 9 Cattle: 65,000 Crops damaged: Tk. 9,410 Ml. 1991 April 29 Chittagong- Cyclonic storm hits at 120 mph. People killed 150,000, cattle heads lost Cox's Bazar Tidal bore 70,000, crops damaged Tk. 42,000 crores. Table 10.3.2 Seismic Zones in Bangladesh and their Earthquake Potential Zones Operational Basis Max. Credible Magnitude Depth of Focus Magnitude (Richter) (Richter) (km) Asam-Meghalaya fault zone 8.0 8.7 0 - 70 Tripura fault zone 7.0 8.0 0 - 70 Sub-Dauki fault zone 7.3 7.5 0 - 70 Bogra fault zone 7.0 7.5 0 - 70 Source : Ali and Chowdhury (1992) Table 10.3.3 Major Earthquake Affecting Bangladesh Date Name Magnitude Epicentre distance From Dhaka (km) 10 Jan, 1869 Kachar earthquake 7.5 250 14 Jul, 1885 Bengal earthquake 7.0 170 12 Jun, 1897 Great Indian earthquake 8.7 230 8 Jul, 1918 Srimangal earthquake 7.6 150 2 Jul, 1930 Dhubri earthquake 7.1 250 15 Jan, 1934 Bihar-Nepal earthquake 8.3 510 15 Aug, 1950 Assam earthquake 8.5 780 Source : Chowdhury and Rahman (2001)
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People's Report 2002-2003 BANGLADES
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First published December 2004 © Un
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vi Table 1.2.26 Arsenic Concentrati
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viii Table 3.1.1.4 Numbers and Area
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x Table 6.1.3 Supply and Consumptio
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xii Table 9.1.9 Casualty Distributi
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Acknowledgements People's Report 20
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Chapter 1 Land and Agriculture 1.1
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Table 1.1.6 Summary of Tea Garden L
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Table 1.2.7 The Summary of Concentr
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Table 1.2.38 Crop Variety Developed
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Forestry 55 2.1 Basic Statistics Ta
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Forestry 57 Table 2.1.5 The 15 Noti
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Forestry 59 Table 2.1.7 Management
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Forestry 61 2.2 Forest Product Tabl
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Forestry 63 Table 2.3.5 Estimated P
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Forestry 65 Table 2.3.6 Species Nam
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Forestry 69 Table 2.3.8 Species nam
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Chapter 3 Fisheries and Livestock 3
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Water 89 4.1 Surface Water, Flood a
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Table 4.1.5 Flood Affected Areas, M
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Table 4.1.5 Flood begins (Date) Aff
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Table 4.1.5 Flood begins (Date) Aff
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Table 4.1.7 Flood Affected Areas, M
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Table 4.1.7 Thana Union Affected Fa
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Water 103 Table 4.2.2 Regional Vari
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Water 105 Table 4.2.6 Source of Wat
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Water 107 Table 4.2.13 Water Pricin
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Water 109 4.3 Water Quality Table 4
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Water 111 Table 4.3.2b Cr (mg/L) Co
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Chapter 5 Industry 5.1 Waste Genera
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116 People's Report 2002-2003 : Ban
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Energy 121 6.1 Energy Source and Co
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Energy 123 Table 6.2.2 Existing Co-
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Energy 125 6.3 Natural Gas and Oil
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Energy 127 Table 6.3.4 Natural Gas
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Page 198 and 199: References CHAPTER 1 Ahmed, M. F.,
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Page 202 and 203: References 187 CHAPTER 6 Alam, M.,
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