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Smalltalk and Object Orientation: an Introduction - Free

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Th<strong>an</strong>ks mostly to Java, object technology is seen as the developer’s Web technology. This therefore<br />

me<strong>an</strong>s that it is likely that much of the development in object technology will be Web driven (we have<br />

already considered some of its effects above). This will probably continue to grow <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> may have both a<br />

positive <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> detrimental effect. The positive effect will be that m<strong>an</strong>y new <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> existing comp<strong>an</strong>ies will<br />

adopt object technology, m<strong>an</strong>y other comp<strong>an</strong>ies will move to support their requirements <strong>an</strong> d m<strong>an</strong>y new<br />

start up comp<strong>an</strong>ies will be created. Over time m<strong>an</strong>y of these comp<strong>an</strong>ies will close down again only to<br />

be replaced by other small start up comp<strong>an</strong>ies. It is within these comp<strong>an</strong>ies that m<strong>an</strong>y of the most<br />

innovative ideas will probably be generated (co nsider Netscape as <strong>an</strong> example). This will be a very<br />

creative <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> dynamic time.<br />

However there are two possible results of this. One is that object technology becomes so successful<br />

that comp<strong>an</strong>ies such as Microsoft consider it a part of their core business <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> move into the market with<br />

such force that they come to dominate. I have always believed that monopolies (or virtual monopolies)<br />

are a bad idea <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> certainly tend to be bad for <strong>an</strong>y industry. The other concern is that object technology<br />

becomes so tightly l inked to the Web in people’s minds that the technology providers ignore other<br />

aspects of the computer world <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> focus solely on the Web (which I believe would be a mistake). Such<br />

a close binding might have a short term benefit, but let us hope that when th e Web bubble bursts or<br />

when the next great new thing comes along, object technology is not left behind with the Web <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong><br />

ignored.<br />

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