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disaster 5th 1108_5th ed 2011 - Homeland Security and Emergency ...

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DISASTER FACTS & FIGURES<br />

Both natural <strong>and</strong> man-made <strong>disaster</strong>s are becoming more common all<br />

around the world. El Niño <strong>and</strong> La Niña events impact billions of people<br />

since these climate extremes disrupt jet streams <strong>and</strong> regions of high <strong>and</strong> low<br />

pressure. These disruptions can potentially increase or decrease<br />

weather-relat<strong>ed</strong> <strong>disaster</strong>s such as extreme heat <strong>and</strong> cold, floods, hurricanes<br />

<strong>and</strong> thunderstorms.<br />

According to the National Oceanic <strong>and</strong> Atmospheric Administration’s<br />

Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory Tropical Atmosphere Ocean<br />

project, El Niño happens when tropical Pacific Ocean trade winds die out<br />

<strong>and</strong> ocean temperatures become unusually warm. La Niña occurs when the<br />

trade winds blow unusually hard <strong>and</strong> sea temperatures become colder than<br />

normal. These warm <strong>and</strong> cold phases are referr<strong>ed</strong> to as El Niño/Southern<br />

Oscillation, or ENSO, which has a period of roughly 3-7 years. Although<br />

ENSO originates in the tropical Pacific system, it has effects on patterns of<br />

weather all over the world. 1<br />

El Niño (warm episodes) occur about every 4-5 years <strong>and</strong> can last up to 12<br />

to 18 months. 2 La Niña (cold episodes) conditions recur every few years<br />

<strong>and</strong> typically last 9 to 12 months but can persist for as long as 2 years. 3<br />

There are also periods where the system is neither warm nor cold (call<strong>ed</strong><br />

neutral conditions).<br />

Even though there is still much to learn about these systems <strong>and</strong> their<br />

impacts on the global community, ENSO forecasts can help individuals,<br />

businesses, <strong>and</strong> governments prepare for these events.<br />

To learn more about NOAA’s Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory<br />

Tropical Atmosphere Ocean project visit www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/<br />

In addition to the climate extremes mention<strong>ed</strong> above, some key elements in<br />

the increasing numbers of worldwide <strong>disaster</strong>s include:<br />

• Global warming / cooling, volcanic activity, sunspots, etc.<br />

• Larger cities are sprawling into high-risk zones<br />

• World population is over 6 billion <strong>and</strong> growing causing<br />

global water consumption to increase<br />

• Humans damaging our natural resources (e.g. pollution,<br />

destroying rain forests, coral reefs, wetl<strong>and</strong>s, etc.)<br />

As the warming <strong>and</strong> cooling debate rages on, keep in mind there’s a lot of<br />

scientific data supporting <strong>and</strong> refuting both sides <strong>and</strong> many unknowns. But<br />

one thing is for certain ~ <strong>disaster</strong>s happen daily no matter what.<br />

www.itsa<strong>disaster</strong>.net or call 1-888-999-4325

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