Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel

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When estimating future benefits, this study adopts the future socio-economic scenarios specified by PLUREL, the IPCC and the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP). It should be noted that there is some variation in the scenarios, but for our purposes we have paired similar scenarios (e.g. A1, A2, B1, B2) under each. The reliability of this could be questioned, but it gives a good general picture of how society may be under the different scenarios. The socio-economic effects are as a result of the changes in two factors: 1) the economic output, i.e. gross domestic production per capita, and 2) population growth. The NEMESIS model had related projection data for year 2015, 2020 and 2025, as shown in Table 9 below. Table 9: Socioeconomic scenarios in the future Scenarios in 2015 A1 A2 B1 B2 Total population in the UK 62,660,000 62,490,000 62,330,000 62,490,000 GDP per capita (2000 €) 37,713 36,904 35,824 34,918 Scenarios in 2020 A1 A2 B1 B2 Total population in the UK 63,780,000 63,480,000 63,160,000 63,480,000 GDP per capita (2000 €) 43,099 41,306 38,739 37,800 Scenarios in 2025 A1 A2 B1 B2 Total population in the UK 64,790,000 64,320,000 63,760,000 643,20,000 GDP per capita (2000 €) 50,156 47,262 43,261 41,146 Source: NEMESIS model These socioeconomic effects are considered to increase/decrease people’s demand for public goods, such as environmental quality, biodiversity, etc. and hence increase/decrease their valuation for these goods. Hence these factors are useful to carry out an inter-temporal benefit transfer. In this study, values of goods from now to year 2015, 2020 and 2025 are projected using projections on population and GDP/capita, according to the following computation (Chiabai et al., 2009): Page 32 • PLUREL report No 4.4.3 • December 2010
⎛ Pop ⎞ ⎛ ⎞ T1 GDPT 1 V = ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ i, T1 Vi, T 0 * * , where ⎝ PopT 0 ⎠ ⎝ GDPT 0 ⎠ Where V i : Estimated annual value per hectare (in the case of biodiversity zone hydrological zone) or per visit (in the case of public enjoyment and access zone) for a certain good i Pop : Population GDP : GDP per capita (2000€) T 0 : Year 2008 T 1: Year 2015, 2020 and 2025 The transfer function specified above is applicable to project the benefits of wetland 11 (biodiversity zone), that of grassland (hydrological zone), environmental benefit and costs of agricultural land and the benefits of peri-urban green open spaces (public enjoyment and access zone). 11 Refers to various types of ecosystem services Page 33 • PLUREL report No 4.4.3 • December 2010
Page 1 and 2: Sustainability Impact Assessment Mo
Page 3 and 4: Cost benefit analysis of transport
Page 5 and 6: Classification of results/outputs:
Page 7 and 8: Introduction The valuation of the p
Page 9 and 10: Golf Course Development in the Peri
Page 11 and 12: Costs and benefits A scoping of pot
Page 13 and 14: Compensation costs to the conversio
Page 15 and 16: We applied the marginal value estim
Page 17 and 18: Table 5: Development costs of golf
Page 19 and 20: The average house price in the poli
Page 21 and 22: Tourism Koper is located in the reg
Page 23 and 24: Results Taking the figures for the
Page 25 and 26: Navrud, S. and R. Ready(2002) Valui
Page 27 and 28: The Mosslands visioning project The
Page 29 and 30: Figure 2: Land Use Plan with Maximu
Page 31: Table 8: Specifications of each zon
Page 35 and 36: Table 10: Valuation data for wetlan
Page 37 and 38: Table 11:Values for Hydrological Zo
Page 39 and 40: Agricultural zone Land use within t
Page 41 and 42: Table 12: Current Data on Agricultu
Page 43 and 44: Table 14: Gross margin (in 2008£)
Page 45 and 46: details are exhibited in Page 45
Page 47 and 48: Table 16: Profitability of horticul
Page 49 and 50: Public enjoyment and access zone Th
Page 51 and 52: Results and discussion Table 19 exh
Page 53 and 54: Figure 3:Net Benefits of Maximum We
Page 55 and 56: The use of the combining of socioec
Page 57 and 58: Economics for the Environment Consu
Page 59 and 60: Cost Benefit Analysis of Transport
Page 61 and 62: In relation with differing sustaina
Page 63 and 64: The MOLAND Model The MOLAND Model i
Page 65 and 66: Figure 1. Growth Paths and Spatial
Page 67 and 68: Scenarios for the GDA Within the fr
Page 69 and 70: Figure 3. Transport 21 Network Used
Page 71 and 72: towns (see Figure 6). In other word
Page 73 and 74: operation costs, travel time, accid
Page 75 and 76: Capital Cost Estimation of Rapid Ra
Page 77 and 78: Valuation of Traffic Safety It can
Page 79 and 80: Railway costs can be analysed as fi
Page 81 and 82: Table 6. Average Earnings-Wage, Sal
Page 83 and 84:
value and discounted at a standard
Page 86 and 87:
Table 9. Summary of Sensitivity Tes
Page 88 and 89:
Source: Lavalle et.al. (2009) The c
Page 90 and 91:
DKM Ltd. Economic Consultants. (199
Page 92 and 93:
Orsini, F. and Williams, B. (2009)
Page 94 and 95:
Applying Economic Valuation to Peri
Page 96 and 97:
Table 1: Marginal damage costs of C
Page 98 and 99:
Results GDP For the Leipzig-Halle c
Page 100 and 101:
Open space Open space in Leipzig wa
Page 102 and 103:
Discussion In this report, we have
Page 104:
Annex 1: Calculation of Amenity Los
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