Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel
Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel
Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel
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Table 20: Best guess values<br />
Best guess<br />
Criterion <strong>of</strong> selection<br />
Biodiversity zone £8201/ha/year A UK-based estimate<br />
Hydrological zone<br />
Median value <strong>of</strong> the selected original<br />
£185/ha/year<br />
estimates (temperate zones)<br />
Agricultural zone<br />
No point estimation is<br />
needed.<br />
-<br />
Public enjoyment and<br />
Median value <strong>of</strong> the selected original<br />
£2.70/visit<br />
access zone<br />
estimates (all UK based)<br />
Source: Authors’ own calculation<br />
By using the post estimates chosen above, the differences in economic <strong>benefit</strong>s between scenarios with<br />
intervention and the one without are shown in<br />
Table 21 below and Figures 3 and 4 below. The results confirm that scenarios with interventions have<br />
greater <strong>benefit</strong>s than the scenario <strong>of</strong> no <strong>policy</strong> interventions. The <strong>benefit</strong>s <strong>of</strong> the maximum wet<strong>land</strong><br />
vision outweigh those <strong>of</strong> the no intervention one by from £14.2 million/year to £21.1 million/year<br />
(2008£), depending on the timing and socioeconomic conditions in the future. In comparison, the<br />
<strong>benefit</strong>s <strong>of</strong> the integrated vision exceed those <strong>of</strong> the no intervention vision by between £6.2<br />
million/year and £9.2 million/year (2008£).<br />
Table 21: Net economic <strong>benefit</strong>s <strong>of</strong> interventions (undiscounted 2008£/year)<br />
2015 2020 2025<br />
Maximum wet<strong>land</strong> vision v.s. No intervention vision A1 15,610,318 17,280,579 21,142,543<br />
A2 15,171,076 16,750,499 19,972,223<br />
B1 14,606,431 15,040,715 17,443,237<br />
B2 14,214,033 14,643,321 16,547,623<br />
Integrated vision v.s. No intervention vision A1 6,888,028 7,198,332 9,170,293<br />
A2 6,663,746 7,113,321 8,758,368<br />
B1 6,375,432 6,091,898 7,318,652<br />
B2 6,175,070 5,875,253 6,847,610<br />
Source: Authors’ own calculation<br />
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