Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel
Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel
Cost benefit analysis of peri-urban land use policy - Plurel
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Results and discussion<br />
Table 19 exhibits the estimated aggregate economic <strong>benefit</strong>s for each <strong>of</strong> the three planning visions.<br />
Overall, the wide ranges <strong>of</strong> the estimation results reflect the fact that the <strong>benefit</strong>s <strong>of</strong> zone are highly<br />
subject to its geographic location, the characteristics <strong>of</strong> the ecosystems located in this area, etc. This,<br />
however, can increase the ambiguity with any implications drawn from these results.<br />
Table 19: Estimated range <strong>of</strong> <strong>benefit</strong>s (2008£/year)<br />
2015 2020 2025<br />
No intervention vision<br />
A1 3,231,481 -37,948,334 5,050,535 - 45,434,317 4,921,681 - 52,662,830<br />
A2 3,246,137 - 37,126,195 4,425,810 - 42,947,879 4,318,318 - 48,978,043<br />
B1 3,264,976 - 36,069,339 4,996,692 - 40,942,930 4,916,532 - 45,439,778<br />
B2 3,278,068 - 35,334,880 5,057,639 - 40,310,110 4,994,102 - 43,874,428<br />
Maximum wet<strong>land</strong> vision<br />
A1 3,301,457 -106,513,255 4,254,078 - 124,313,426 4,693,802 - 146,626,305<br />
A2 3,251,445 - 103,975,489 3,932,634 - 118,457,185 4,299,460 - 137,071,014<br />
B1 3,187,155 - 100,713,197 3,946,754 - 110,813,464 4,220,305 - 124,694,275<br />
B2 3,142,476 - 98,446,079 3,920,858 - 108,725,028 4,137,682 - 119,727,320<br />
Integrated vision<br />
A1 2,596,053 - 98,392,346 3,497,336 - 114,930,725 3,746,035 - 135,481,049<br />
A2 2,567,767 - 96,055,045 3,191,050 - 109,487,304 3,398,520 - 126,630,776<br />
B1 2,531,406 - 93,050,451 3,298,715 - 102,487,324 3,453,431 - 115,271,652<br />
B2 2,506,137 - 90,962,418 3,293,362 - 100,567,619 3,415,993 - 110,700,809<br />
Source: Authors’ calculation<br />
Given the wide ranges <strong>of</strong> estimated <strong>benefit</strong>s as shown in the table above, this study alternatively<br />
develops point estimates as the best guesses for the study site. To select these point values, we choose<br />
the values transferred from studies originally carried out in the UK, or otherwise <strong>use</strong> the median<br />
value <strong>of</strong> a selection <strong>of</strong> original estimates, as shown in Table 14.<br />
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