Wine Investment in South Africa - Cape Wine Academy

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attractive. The Acker, Merrall & Condit March 2011 auction in Hong Kong, for example, saw one case of Jayer’s Richebourg 1978 sell for HK$1,647,000 (R1.4m or R123,173 a bottle). The millions of dollars traded has ensured the continued respectability and desirability of the product as well as keeping returns healthy. It also, according to Johann Krige, “bailed out the Bordeaux system and saved en primeur from collapse” ( Krige, 2011 Appendix E). The recovery has been rapid and impressive; Zachy’s Wine Auctions raised more than $9m (R65m) in their very first auction of 2011 in Hong Kong ( Zachy’s, 2011 ). Williams concludes with a view of the ‘strong global demand’ shown since 2010; ‘Anyone brave enough to buy has picked up some great fine wine parcels at very advantageous prices. Equally, for new investors looking to get into the game, the last few months have been a golden opportunity’ ( Williams, 2011). Williams’ company issued the following data ( Table 1 ) to show how investment in wine had ridden out the recession. Data shows their top 50, 100 and 500 wines’ performance against standard asset exchanges. The top 50 wines ended 2010 with good returns ( Yield To Date ) showing a sevenfold points increase over the UK stock exchange ( AWC, 2011 ). Value M/M % Y/Y % YTD % Live-ex Fine Wine 50 (GBP) 401 +2.6 +56.6 +52.5 Live-ex Fine Wine 100 (GBP) 336 +2.1 +40.6 +36.6 Live-ex Fine Wine 500 (GBP) 257 +3.6 +19.5 +19.0 FTSE 100 (GBP) 5,900 +6.7 +9.0 +7.3 S&P 500 (USD) 1,258 +6.5 +12.8 +11.0 Nikkei 225 (JPY) 10,229 +2.9 -3.0 -3.0 Gold (GBP) 910 +6.2 +33.8 +31.0 The Antique Wine Company Newsletter, January 2011 M/M month on month; Y/Y year on year Table 1. Key Investment Data – Ending 31st December 2010. © AWCompany (Liv-ex 2010) Alternatively, Liv-ex issues a simple, monthly updated report ( Table 2 ) which shows how fine wine has performed against key measures. The disasters in Japan in April 2011 are reflected in the Nikkei levels, and there is clear identification of the remarkable success of wine as an asset when held against, for example, the UK interest rate of 0.5% ( May 2011 ). 9
Hence the growth of dozens of investment firms in Europe, the US and increasingly in Asia now offering clients’ portfolios of wines to buy into, most offering professional storage facilities for client’s wines and a brokerage service. Huge storage facilities exist on most continents merely to hold stocks of wine under perfect long term conditions with ownership Cellar/Index Value Index 3month change % 12month change % Liv-ex 100 ( top100performers) 359 +3.7 +26.5 Liv-ex 500 (top 500 performers) 276 +5.8 +23.0 FTSE 100 5,977 -0.1 +3.7 S&P 500 1,340 +5.4 +13.3 Nikkei 225 9,859 -6.3 -12.7 Table 2. Liv-ex May 2011 report showing wine asset progress against other markets. ©Liv-ex often traded ‘on paper’ without leaving the premises, such as the London City Bond ( LCB ). Most investment companies offer tracking facilities for clients to monitor their wines as well as regular financial market reports. An example of an interim market report is shown in Table 3 below. This gives the performance over a longer period of selections of Liv-ex’s portfolios, for example, the Fine Wine 50 would consist of the top 50 performing blue chip wines. Note the static performance of stocks and shares as represented by the FTSE 100 over the difficult last few years. Indices Level MOM % YTD % 1yr % 5yr % Liv-ex Fine Wine 50 437 4.4 9.0 60.0 283.1 Liv-ex Fine Wine 100 358 3.3 6.3 41.1 191.9 Liv-ex Claret Chip 445 3.9 7.5 53.0 262.9 Liv-ex Investables 360 3.8 7.7 44.3 202.0 FTSE 100 5,994 2.2 1.6 11.9 3.5 S&P 500 1,327 3.2 5.5 20.2 3.6 Gold 867 4.3 -4.7 18.0 170.1 Table 3. An interim market report from Liv-ex. March 2011. With Month on Month and Year to Date figures 10
Page 1 and 2: Wine Investment in South Africa Dav
Page 3 and 4: Acknowledgements The following all
Page 5 and 6: Contents Acknowledgements………
Page 7 and 8: List of Tables Table 1 Key investme
Page 9 and 10: 1.2 Scope of Assignment Wine invest
Page 11 and 12: The barriers that seem to exist whi
Page 13 and 14: meet future market demand. The 1855
Page 15: after seller’s premium ) giving t
Page 19 and 20: Table 5 above shows an even more im
Page 21 and 22: Thus 1 case brokered personally or
Page 23 and 24: would avoid the need for the invest
Page 25 and 26: For the top châteaux, returns have
Page 27 and 28: ‘bargain’ prices. This requires
Page 29 and 30: Ratcliffe, though, believes that,
Page 31 and 32: 2e) buying through an investment co
Page 33 and 34: worldwide and hugely increased the
Page 35 and 36: 6.1.2 Securing a release price High
Page 37 and 38: Other vintages should be considered
Page 39 and 40: Indices Level MOM YTD 1yr 5yr Liv-e
Page 41 and 42: may be legally more deserving than
Page 43 and 44: Even with the best intentions, wine
Page 45 and 46: Ullages (Level of Wine) For Bordeau
Page 47 and 48: Section 2 Chapter 7 7.1 South Afric
Page 49 and 50: people distrust wines of age and do
Page 51 and 52: 8.2.3 Domestic recognition of SA fi
Page 53 and 54: ‘It would be depressing indeed to
Page 55 and 56: some top producers do not enter the
Page 57 and 58: found in numerous bottle shops - an
Page 59 and 60: cR50,000 in SA or an underground ce
Page 61 and 62: The need for investment from abroad
Page 63 and 64: Krige is selling previous vintages
Page 65 and 66: ‘South Africa may not have as muc
Page 67 and 68:
found an even more serious lack of
Page 69 and 70:
important to establish to the world
Page 71 and 72:
cases the CWG wines achieved higher
Page 73 and 74:
ecession. Table 16 below shows wine
Page 75 and 76:
seeing négociants make huge profit
Page 77 and 78:
wine market. De Toren’s will be m
Page 79 and 80:
For this reason, savvy investors mi
Page 81 and 82:
Section 4 Summary and conclusions T
Page 83 and 84:
References 90pluswines. (2011) http
Page 85 and 86:
Goode,J. (2009) http://www.wineanor
Page 87 and 88:
Norman, R. MW (2011) Chenin Challen
Page 89 and 90:
Van Rensburg, A. (2011) The Big 5 S
Page 91 and 92:
Appendices Appendix A Interview wit
Page 93 and 94:
CT has still got 2/3rds of the fore
Page 95 and 96:
We were one of the first to offer e
Page 97 and 98:
There is no way forward for SA wine
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