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to address network congestion issues. Considering that the U.S. is also becoming the largest base for<br />

HSPA+ and LTE deployments, most of the progressive research in areas of data management and<br />

experimentation with policy, regulations, strategy and business models is taking place in the networks of<br />

the U.S. operators, Sharma noted. 30<br />

A wave in Internet connectivity growth is being driven by the cellular industry, and the global number of<br />

Internet connected devices has now surpassed the number of connected computers and is growing at a<br />

much faster rate. 31 According to CTIA, there were more than 243.5 million Internet-capable devices<br />

during the time of its survey, which was an increase of more than 6.4 million since June 2009. 32<br />

SMS text messaging also continues to grow as more SMS-capable devices widely penetrate the market.<br />

As of June 2010, 1.8 trillion SMS messages were reported. 33 This number is up by 33 percent from the<br />

year before, when 740 billion text messages were reported for the first half of 2009. Wireless subscribers<br />

are also sending more pictures and other Multimedia Messages (MMS) with their mobile devices – 56.3<br />

billion MMS messages were reported for the first half of 2010, an increase of 187 percent.<br />

Data traffic continues to increase across all U.S. networks, which CTIA reported handling 161.5 billion<br />

megabytes of data in the six months ending in June 2010, up 49.8 percent from the last half of 2009. 34<br />

The U.S. wireless data market grew 6 percent quarter over quarter and 22 percent year over year to<br />

exceed $13.2 billion in mobile data service revenues in Q2 2010, according to Chetan Sharma. Nonmessaging<br />

services continued to capture 60 to 65 percent of the data revenues of U.S. carriers. 35<br />

In its June 2010 Visual Networking Index, Cisco estimates that almost 66 percent of the world’s mobile<br />

data traffic will be video by 2014 and will grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 131<br />

percent between 2009 and 2014. Cisco reported that mobile video had the highest growth rate of any<br />

application category measured within the mobile data portion of its Cisco VNI forecast at that time. 36<br />

Forecasts by consulting firm Ovum show that users of mobile broadband services (3G and 3G+<br />

technologies) will grow from 181 million in 2008 to over 2 billion in 2014; a staggering growth of 1,024<br />

percent. Ovum forecasts that users accessing the Internet via mobile broadband-enabled laptops and<br />

handsets will generate revenues of US$137 billion globally in 2014, over 450 percent more than in<br />

2008. 37<br />

There will be a continuing shift in the percentage of 3G mobile broadband versus 2G connections.<br />

Informa Telecoms & Media predicts that by the end of 2015, the global 3G mobile broadband market will<br />

include over 4.2 billion subscriptions, of which 3.6 billion will be 3GPP family technologies with 87 percent<br />

share of market. 38 This substantial number of mobile broadband connections will serve to feed the<br />

growth of data services.<br />

30<br />

US Mobile Data Market Update Q2 2010, Chetan Sharma, 10 August 2010.<br />

31<br />

Internet connected Devices about to pass the 5 billion milestone, IMS Research, 19 August 2010.<br />

32<br />

Semi-Annual Survey on Wireless Trends, CTIA, 6 October 2010.<br />

33<br />

Ibid.<br />

34<br />

Ibid.<br />

35<br />

US Mobile Data Market Update Q2 2010, Chetan Sharma, 10 August 2010.<br />

36<br />

Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2009-2014, Cisco, 2 June 2010.<br />

37<br />

2 billion+ mobile broadband users by 2014, 450% more revenue - and watch emerging markets, Michael Schwartz, Analysis<br />

Market Trends, 15 April 2009.<br />

38<br />

Forecast Summary, 2Q 2010, Informa Telecoms & Media.<br />

www.4gamericas.org February 2011 Page 31

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