2011 Index of Silicon Valley - Silicon Valley Community Foundation

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Employment Employment gains have been reported in key industries over the past year, and declines are slowing. ECONO WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT Tracking employment gains and losses is a basic measure of economic health. Shifts in employment across industries suggest structural changes in Silicon Valley’s economic composition. Over the course of the business cycle, employment growth and decline across industries can be cyclical, but the permanent changes reflect how the region’s industrial mix is changing. While business establishmentbased employment provides the broader picture of the region’s economy, observing the employment and unemployment rates of the population residing in the Valley reveals the status of the immediate Silicon Valley-based workforce. Occupational needs of the region change over time as technology changes, the region’s mix of industries shifts, and markets become more specialized. How the region’s occupational patterns change provides an indication for how well our economy is maintaining its position in the global economy. HOW ARE WE DOING At the outset of the recent downturn, jobs losses in Silicon Valley initially lagged the nation before overtaking national rates. Now, the region is outpacing the nation in employment gains in 2010. However, between December 2007 and 2009, the region’s employment losses of 6.6 percent exceeded nationwide losses of 5.7 percent (based on data reporting employment of residents). From December 2009 to 2010, employment increased 1.1 percent while national growth lagged at 0.9 percent. Over this 12-month period, the region added 12,300 jobs, bringing employment back up to 2004 levels. Jobs were added in computer systems design, employment services, and computer and electronic product manufacturing. In view of total employment in the broader Silicon Valley region (based on data reporting jobs at employers in the region for which there is a longer reporting lag), employment declines in the second quarter of 2010 slowed to 1.1 percent, bringing the region’s total employment to 1.3 million, the lowest level in over a decade. While total employment fell, Innovation & Specialized Services expanded by two percent from the second quarter in 2009 to the second quarter in 2010. Across all other major areas of economic activity, losses slowed compared to the prior year. The combined unemployment rate for the two counties shaved off 0.8 percent over the prior year, bringing it down to 9.8 percent in December 2010. California remained relatively unchanged at 12.3 percent, and the U.S. unemployment rate fell to 9.1 percent. Hitting every ethnic group in 2009, the unemployment rate doubled for Hispanics, Other, White and Asians between 2007 and 2009. When employers stop hiring, people seek other means of work through temporary employment services or consulting. In the San Jose area, Employment Services increased 27 percent from the low in April 2009. From December 2009 to 2010, Employment Services increased by 10 percent, adding 1,700 jobs. Essential to the region’s innovation economy, high-tech and Science & Engineering (S&E) talent represent 16 percent of all occupations in Silicon Valley and only six percent in the U.S. although growth is faster here. In addition to computer engineers and bioscientists, S&E talent includes the region’s world-class talent in digital arts and commercial design. Since 2000, occupations in Design decreased by 14 percent while Mathematics increased 84 percent in the region. Monthly Employed Residents Relative to December 2007 (100=December 2007 Values) 101 100 99 98 97 96 95 94 93 December 2007 Change in Residential Employment Santa Clara & San Mateo Counties, and the United States December 2009 U.S. -5.7% * San Mateo & Santa Clara Counties -6.6% Monthly Employed Residents Relative to December 2009 (100=December 2009 Values) 105 104 103 102 101 100 99 December 2009 San Mateo & Santa Clara Counties +1.1% * December 2010 U.S. +0.9% *Data for December 2010 is preliminary Note: Data is not seasonally adjusted. Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (CPS) and Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Analysis: Collaborative Economics 16
MY Employment Total Employed Residents by Month San Mateo & Santa Clara Counties About the 2011 Index | 01 Map of Silicon Valley 02 | Table of Contents | 03 Index 2011 Highlights 04 | 05 1,400,000 Index at a Glance 06 | 07 Total Number Employed Residents 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 1998 1999 2000 *Data for December 2010 is preliminary Note: Data is not seasonally adjusted. Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Analysis: Collaborative Economics 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Special Analysis 08 | 11 PEOPLE 12 | 15 Employment 16–19 Innovation 20-23 Entrepreneurship 24-27 Income 28-31 ECONOMY SOCIETY 32 | 43 Number of Silicon Valley Jobs in Second Quarter with Percent Change over Prior Year Silicon Valley 1,750,000 +6.2%-0.2% 1,500,000 +4.7% +4.2%+1.6% -9.7% -6.0% -0.6%+0.1% +2.7% +2.6% +1.4% -6.6% 1,250,000 1,000,000 750,000 500,000 PLACE 44 | 57 250,000 0 1997 1998 2006 1999 2007 2000 2001 2008 2002 2009 2003 * 2004 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 Total Number of Jobs Quarterly Job Growth Percent change over previous year -1.1% Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 2009 Q2 Q2 Q2 Data Source: California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Analysis: Collaborative Economics Silicon Valley Employment in Public Sector 2007 2010 % Change Local Gov. Admin. 11,870 11,659 -2% State Gov. Admin. 79 64 -19% TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 11,949 11,723 -2% Special Analysis cont. 58 | 67 Appendices 68 | 72 Acknowledgme nts | 73 17
Page 1 and 2: i n d e x OF SILICON VALLEY 2011 PE
Page 3 and 4: ABOUT THE 2011 SILICON VALLEY INDEX
Page 5 and 6: TABLE OF CONTENTS 2011 INDEX HIGHLI
Page 7 and 8: Attracting talent from abroad is im
Page 9 and 10: SOCIETY Educational and health outc
Page 11 and 12: Special Analysis The Crisis in Loca
Page 13 and 14: Silicon Valley’s experience has m
Page 15 and 16: 40,000 Net Migration Flows Foreign
Page 17: Science & Engineering Degrees Confe
Page 21 and 22: MY Total Number of Jobs in Employme
Page 23 and 24: MY 12,000 10,000 Patent Registratio
Page 25 and 26: MY Billions of Dollars Invested (In
Page 27 and 28: MY 0.5% 0.4% Percent of Population
Page 29 and 30: MY 100% 90% 80% Percentage of Nonem
Page 31 and 32: MY Per Capita Income (Inflation Adj
Page 33 and 34: MY Perfect Income Inequality = Gini
Page 35 and 36: Percentage of Eighth Graders Tested
Page 37 and 38: 50% 45% 40% Percent of Students Rec
Page 39 and 40: Vibrant Nightlife San Jose-Sunnyval
Page 41 and 42: Percentage of Population with Healt
Page 43 and 44: Teen Births Teen Births per 1,000 F
Page 45 and 46: Number of Drug and Alcohol Rehabili
Page 47 and 48: Per Capita Water Consumption % Chan
Page 49 and 50: Fuel Consumption per Capita San Mat
Page 51 and 52: About the 2011 Index | 01 Map of Si
Page 53 and 54: 80% 70% 60% 50% Housing Near Transi
Page 55 and 56: Average Rent (Inflation Adjusted) A
Page 57 and 58: 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,00
Page 59 and 60: $9 8 Commercial Rents Annual Averag
Page 61 and 62: Figure 2-2 $4.0 City Revenue Aggreg
Page 63 and 64: These trends indicate that all majo
Page 65 and 66: Trends in County Revenue and Expend
Page 67 and 68: County Expenditures In terms of cou
Page 69 and 70:
Based on San Mateo County June 2010
Page 71 and 72:
Establishment Churn The National Es
Page 73 and 74:
Time Required for Permitting of Ren
Page 75 and 76:
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Special thanks to t
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