MCDA Final Report Malawi - Standards and Trade Development ...

Figure 13. Net flows for baseline model
It is possible to examine the performance of each of the SPS capacity-building options through their
scores for each of the ten decision criteria, as reported in Figures 14 to 29. Not surprisingly, pesticide
controls for tea, virus indexing capacity for planting materials, and compliance with SPS requirements
for chilli sauce exports have performed very well (i.e. more strongly positive and less negative scores) on
almost all the criteria (Figures 22, 26 and 27). Options which perform moderately well across the criteria
include aflatoxin controls for groundnuts and compliance with SPS requirements for honey exports.
Conversely, pesticide residue testing capacity which is ranked sixteenth in the overall analysis scores
negatively on all the criteria (Figure 23).
The foregoing discussions presents the core results of the analysis, and application of the prioritisation
framework. Thus, the rankings in Figure 13 are in many ways the key results of the analysis; they
represent the recommended priorities between the 16 SPS capacity-building options included in the
analysis. It is important to recognise, however, that these results, and the established priorities
amongst the capacity-building options, reflect the chosen decision criteria and the respective measures
derived for each of the 16 options, and the weights attached to the criteria. This begs the question, how
does the ranking of the capacity-building options change if any of these key inputs changes To answer
this question, sensitivity analysis was applied to the baseline model, the results of which are reported in
Figures 30 to 32 below.
Page | 37