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MCDA Final Report Malawi - Standards and Trade Development ...

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Table A3.3. Aflatoxin controls for maize<br />

Decision Criterion Value Details Confidence<br />

Cost<br />

Up-front investment<br />

US$600,000<br />

Estimated cost of scoping study for 4 mycotoxins in diet, l<strong>and</strong> race typing<br />

of Aspergillus flavus to geographical indicators, <strong>and</strong> 3 year field trial with Medium<br />

multiple strain atoxigenic strain Aspergillus flavus.<br />

On-going cost 0%<br />

Limited additional production costs estimated conservatively at 0.1 per<br />

cent of the value of exports.<br />

Medium<br />

Ease of implementation +4<br />

Somewhat difficult because of the number of people involved in the<br />

value chain. Maize basically is a subsistence crop<br />

Medium<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> impacts<br />

Change in absolute value of exports US$0<br />

Minimal impact. There are moves to set mycotoxins st<strong>and</strong>ards in the<br />

SADC/EAC/COMESA region <strong>and</strong> the implementation of these controls<br />

will act to preserve existing regional trade. However, much of the<br />

Medium<br />

current trade is through the WFP <strong>and</strong> is already tested.<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> diversification 0<br />

Most maize production is for domestic consumption. Any trade is within<br />

the region <strong>and</strong> this is not expected to change.<br />

High<br />

Domestic agri-food impacts<br />

Agricultural/fisheries productivity +1 Implementation of GAP likely to lead to enhanced productivity. High<br />

Domestic public health +1<br />

Aflatoxin contamination reduces immunity. Therefore, more effective<br />

aflatoxin control <strong>and</strong> management for this staple crop is likely to reduce<br />

health problems such as HIV/AIDS.<br />

Medium<br />

Environmental protection 0 No impact High<br />

Social impacts<br />

Poverty impact 0 No impact High<br />

Impact on vulnerable groups +1 Will have some positive impact on individuals with HIV/AIDS Medium<br />

Page | 59

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