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MCDA Final Report Malawi - Standards and Trade Development ...

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Table A3.16. Animal health controls for day old chick exports<br />

Decision Criterion Value Details Confidence<br />

Cost<br />

This estimate is derived from a recent investment in <strong>Malawi</strong>an<br />

Up-front investment<br />

veterinary services aimed at improving surveillance <strong>and</strong> detection of<br />

US$1 million<br />

avian diseases as reported by the Avian <strong>and</strong> Human Influenza Facility<br />

High<br />

(AHIF).<br />

On-going cost 7.5%<br />

Based on an estimate of costs in similar countries.<br />

Medium<br />

Ease of implementation +5<br />

Change in absolute value of exports<br />

US$650,700<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> diversification +2<br />

Agricultural/fisheries productivity +2<br />

Domestic public health +1<br />

Very difficult based on the comments in the report by the Avian <strong>and</strong><br />

Human Influenza Facility (AHIF).<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> impacts<br />

Value of increased trade is based on doubled growth rate of exports<br />

between 2012 <strong>and</strong> 2017 as compared with actual performance between<br />

2002 <strong>and</strong> 2011.<br />

Able to export to new markets within the region where there is<br />

significant dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Domestic agri-food impacts<br />

Agricultural productivity is expected to be increased with the provision<br />

of good quality, disease-free birds<br />

Domestic public health will be protected to a small extent through<br />

surveillance <strong>and</strong> control of some zoonotic diseases<br />

High<br />

Medium<br />

High<br />

High<br />

Medium<br />

Environmental protection 0 No or slight impact Medium<br />

Poverty impact +1<br />

Impact on vulnerable groups<br />

0<br />

Social impacts<br />

Increased productivity of poultry keepers, many of which are<br />

smallholders<br />

Medium<br />

. Some impacts foreseen but not across the board <strong>and</strong> small in scale. Medium<br />

Page | 76

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