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United States<br />

2.4 Tax <strong>policy</strong> <strong>outlook</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>2015</strong> — detail<br />

Corporate income <strong>tax</strong>es<br />

Tax re<strong>for</strong>m<br />

• Tax re<strong>for</strong>m. The chairmen of the congressional <strong>tax</strong>-writing<br />

<br />

Hatch of Utah, support comprehensive <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m (covering<br />

both businesses and individuals) that lowers <strong>tax</strong> rates and<br />

<br />

business <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m that would be revenue neutral in<br />

the long-run (combining revenue raising provisions with<br />

incentives that cost mon<strong>ey</strong>). While far apart in the details,<br />

<br />

business <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m should be a priority this year.<br />

• The Administration’s FY 2016 budget, released 2 February<br />

<strong>2015</strong>, like prior budgets, contains a reserve fund <strong>for</strong><br />

business <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m. While many of the provisions are<br />

carryover items, meaning th<strong>ey</strong> have been included in past<br />

budgets, the Administration included some new proposals<br />

that are generating discussion. Among them are a proposed<br />

one-time 14% transition <strong>tax</strong> on un<strong>tax</strong>ed <strong>for</strong>eign earnings<br />

of US companies, and a proposed minimum 19% <strong>tax</strong> on<br />

US companies’ <strong>for</strong>eign earnings going <strong>for</strong>ward. Under<br />

the Administration’s proposal, the revenue from the onetime<br />

transition <strong>tax</strong> would be devoted to infrastructure<br />

investments.<br />

• <br />

to support “middle-class economics.” It contains proposals<br />

that would raise the top capital gains and dividend <strong>tax</strong><br />

<br />

and increase <strong>tax</strong>es on high-income <strong>tax</strong>payers. Revenue<br />

from these changes would then be used toward <strong>tax</strong> policies<br />

intended to help the middle class.<br />

• <br />

Administration, it is important to note that it is not a<br />

legislative proposal. Legislation would still need to be<br />

enacted through the legislative process <strong>for</strong> these policies<br />

to come into effect. And as many of these proposals have<br />

received a cool reception from congressional Republicans,<br />

it remains to be seen whether these provisions could gain<br />

traction in the current Congress.<br />

• Meanwhile, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Hatch<br />

<br />

<br />

explore different <strong>policy</strong> areas, with the intent of introducing<br />

and considering a <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m bill this year. Sen. Hatch<br />

has said <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m is necessary and should encourage<br />

job creation and economic growth, make the <strong>tax</strong> system<br />

more internationally competitive, and lower rates. Finance<br />

<br />

principles, which include increased progressivity and a<br />

narrowing of the disparity between the <strong>tax</strong>ation of capital<br />

and wage income. For his part, House Ways and Means<br />

Committee Chairman Ryan has said Republican control of<br />

the Senate would lead to “a very bold ef<strong>for</strong>t” on <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m.<br />

Chairman Ryan has also said he planned to put <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m on<br />

a fast track in his committee. However, political differences<br />

regarding the scope of <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m and the revenue<br />

parameters of such legislation may delay action.<br />

Tax extenders<br />

• <br />

end of 2013. These include major corporate items such as<br />

<br />

last acts of 2014, Congress extended virtually all of these<br />

provisions, but only through 2014. Lawmakers are expected<br />

to revisit these issues in <strong>2015</strong>.<br />

Taxes on wages and employment<br />

• Under the Af<strong>for</strong>dable Care Act (ACA), beginning in <strong>2015</strong>,<br />

“large employers” are subject to excise <strong>tax</strong>es, which are<br />

generally imposed if the employer does not offer a certain<br />

level of health care coverage to its full-time employees,<br />

and those employees purchase coverage through a health<br />

insurance exchange and receive a premium <strong>tax</strong> credit. Also<br />

<br />

to meet new and expansive health insurance in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

reporting requirements.<br />

• The US Supreme Court’s 2013 decision in Windsor holding<br />

<br />

gender couple has resulted in numerous states overturning<br />

their bans on same-gender marriage. The result has been<br />

<br />

<br />

gender spouse. The Supreme Court in January said it<br />

would rule on two questions later this year — whether the<br />

Fourteenth Amendment requires states to license marriages<br />

between same-gender couples, and whether it requires<br />

states to recognize same-gender marriages licensed and<br />

per<strong>for</strong>med in other states, and the Court’s ruling could have<br />

further implications in this area.<br />

• <br />

increased their focus on whether employers are improperly<br />

treating their workers as independent contractors rather<br />

than employees <strong>for</strong> <strong>tax</strong> purposes. The courts showed a<br />

<br />

employees. These events are challenging employers to<br />

review the status of their independent contractors.<br />

The <strong>outlook</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>global</strong> <strong>tax</strong> <strong>policy</strong> in <strong>2015</strong> | 193

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