ey-global-tax-policy-outlook-for-2015
ey-global-tax-policy-outlook-for-2015
ey-global-tax-policy-outlook-for-2015
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Germany<br />
2.4 Tax <strong>policy</strong> <strong>outlook</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>2015</strong> — detail<br />
Corporate income <strong>tax</strong>es<br />
• Taxation of capital gains realized on the disposition of<br />
portfolio corporate shareholdings of less than 10% will be<br />
reconsidered in <strong>2015</strong>. A majority of states strongly support<br />
such <strong>tax</strong>ation. Currently, only dividends are fully <strong>tax</strong>able <strong>for</strong><br />
a corporate shareholder with such portfolio shareholdings,<br />
while capital gains are effectively 95% <strong>tax</strong> exempt. It<br />
has been announced that a draft bill will be published by<br />
mid-<strong>2015</strong>.<br />
• It remains to be seen whether states will en<strong>for</strong>ce the<br />
implementation of stricter anti-hybrid rules in <strong>2015</strong>. If not,<br />
such rules will probably be implemented as from 2016 as<br />
a part of the wider implementation of BEPS issues. Hybrid<br />
mismatch rules are part of the agenda of a joint federal and<br />
state working group on early BEPS implementation that<br />
in <strong>2015</strong> will discuss options to introduce BEPS legislation.<br />
A draft bill will be announced in <strong>2015</strong> that will include at<br />
least some aspects of anti-hybrid mismatch regulation.<br />
• <br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
optimistic that progress can be made in the CCTB discussion<br />
<br />
CCTB, including consolidation and <strong>for</strong>mulary apportionment<br />
of the <strong>tax</strong> base.<br />
Taxes on wages and employment<br />
• Conservative backbenchers have started an initiative to<br />
push a re<strong>for</strong>m of the personal income <strong>tax</strong> rate which would<br />
effectively lower personal income <strong>tax</strong>es. The background to<br />
this issue is the progressive course of the marginal personal<br />
<br />
of 14 percent and then rises in bands, up to highest marginal<br />
rate 45 percent. The conservative initiative criticizes that<br />
historically, personal income <strong>tax</strong> policies have not taken<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
The initiative aims to re<strong>for</strong>m the income <strong>tax</strong> rate so as to<br />
<br />
and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble do not support this<br />
initiative, but broad support in the conservative party could<br />
put it on the <strong>tax</strong> <strong>policy</strong> agenda in <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
VAT, GST and sales <strong>tax</strong>es<br />
• <br />
quick reaction mechanism. There<strong>for</strong>e, the extension of the<br />
reverse charge system is expected to remain a <strong>tax</strong> <strong>policy</strong><br />
issue in <strong>2015</strong>.<br />
• <br />
<br />
<br />
an inheritance <strong>tax</strong> law amendment will be necessary until<br />
30 June 2016. The new coalition has committed itself to<br />
a business-friendly adjustment, but we expect the social<br />
democrats and the states to push <strong>for</strong> a new regulation that<br />
increases inheritance <strong>tax</strong> revenue. Inheritance <strong>tax</strong> revenue is<br />
part of the budget of the states.<br />
• Concerning real estate <strong>tax</strong>, the current valuation system<br />
is under pressure as it utilizes values from the 1930s and<br />
1960s. It is possible that either court decisions will result<br />
in re<strong>for</strong>m, or the states and the federal level proactively will<br />
agree on re<strong>for</strong>m. Several proposals have been in discussion<br />
<strong>for</strong> the past two years. The outcomes will likely lead to higher<br />
real estate <strong>tax</strong>es. The federal coalition has called the states<br />
to agree on a re<strong>for</strong>m model.<br />
• <br />
transaction <strong>tax</strong> (FTT). Since many EU Member States oppose<br />
<br />
that have joined an enhanced cooperation procedure. It<br />
is expected that there will be an agreement within the<br />
<br />
2.5 Fiscal stimulus in <strong>2015</strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
In reaction to the discussion on the need <strong>for</strong> higher public<br />
<br />
has developed a program to increase federal investments from<br />
2016 onwards. This program will cumulatively raise federal<br />
investments by EUR10b. from 2016 to 2018. It is not clear yet<br />
<br />
the program will not include <strong>tax</strong> components but instead will<br />
focus on higher public expenditures.<br />
The <strong>outlook</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>global</strong> <strong>tax</strong> <strong>policy</strong> in <strong>2015</strong> |<br />
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