ey-global-tax-policy-outlook-for-2015
ey-global-tax-policy-outlook-for-2015
ey-global-tax-policy-outlook-for-2015
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United States<br />
• Congress may take a renewed interest in paring down the<br />
<br />
Focus may also turn to addressing impending solvency issues<br />
<br />
funds, which may change how much social insurance <strong>tax</strong><br />
employers and employees pay in the future.<br />
• Tax refund fraud involving false Forms W-2 has caused some<br />
<br />
Congress may push <strong>for</strong> fraud prevention measures at the<br />
federal level.<br />
VAT, GST and sales <strong>tax</strong>es<br />
• Many states have been actively considering <strong>tax</strong> changes<br />
and re<strong>for</strong>m, but the type of re<strong>for</strong>m varies greatly by state.<br />
In <strong>2015</strong>, states will likely continue to look to decrease both<br />
their corporate and individual income <strong>tax</strong> rates, as well as<br />
state-level <strong>tax</strong>es on wages and employment.<br />
• To pay <strong>for</strong> these reductions, states have increasingly been<br />
expanding their sales and use <strong>tax</strong> rates, as well as their sales<br />
<strong>tax</strong> bases, to include various services that had not previously<br />
been subject to sales <strong>tax</strong>. Notably, there is a growing<br />
movement among the states to extend their sales <strong>tax</strong>es to<br />
remote Internet sales (despite US Supreme Court rulings<br />
requiring a <strong>tax</strong>payer’s physical presence to require collection<br />
of such <strong>tax</strong>es). A group of retailers and other businesses is<br />
working with Congress on legislation to grant state and local<br />
governments the authority to collect sales <strong>tax</strong>es on remote<br />
transactions. Lawmakers will continue to work on such<br />
legislation when the next Congress convenes in January.<br />
• <br />
income-based <strong>tax</strong>es to consumption-based <strong>tax</strong>es is likely to<br />
continue.<br />
2.5 Fiscal stimulus in <strong>2015</strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
2.6 Political landscape<br />
• The Republican party regained control of the Senate in the<br />
November 2014 midterm elections, but its majority is short<br />
<br />
short of the two-thirds majority needed in each chamber<br />
to overrule a presidential veto. There<strong>for</strong>e, bipartisan<br />
<br />
legislation, including <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m.<br />
• <br />
cuts tied to raising the US debt limit and possible Republican<br />
attempts to use the so-called “budget reconciliation” process<br />
to attempt to repeal the ACA or push <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m <strong>for</strong>ward.<br />
• <strong>2015</strong> could also see greater bipartisan negotiation, with<br />
Republicans focusing on their priorities (such as reducing<br />
government regulation and enacting energy measures) and<br />
<br />
on issues, such as international trade agreements and<br />
business <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m.<br />
• Republican control of Congress has reinvigorated the <strong>tax</strong><br />
re<strong>for</strong>m debate, although this does not necessarily mean <strong>tax</strong><br />
re<strong>for</strong>m will be enacted in the short term.<br />
• The many moving parts contribute to a complex political<br />
dynamic; while Republicans have generally supported<br />
<br />
has increasingly focused on business-only <strong>tax</strong> re<strong>for</strong>m and<br />
proposals intended to provide relief or pay <strong>for</strong> changes to<br />
bolster the middle class.<br />
2.7 Current <strong>tax</strong> <strong>policy</strong> and <strong>tax</strong> administration<br />
leaders<br />
Tax <strong>policy</strong> leaders<br />
• <br />
• Jack Lew, Treasury Secretary<br />
• Mark Mazur, Treasury Assistant Secretary (Tax Policy)<br />
• Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), Chairman, House Ways and Means<br />
Committee<br />
• <br />
Means Committee<br />
194 | The <strong>outlook</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>global</strong> <strong>tax</strong> <strong>policy</strong> in <strong>2015</strong>