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Reminiscences of a Stock Operator<br />
least resistance.<br />
What I have told you gives you the essence of my trading system as based on studying<br />
the tape. I merely learn the way prices are most probably going to move. I check up my<br />
own trading by additional tests, to determine the psychological moment. I do that by<br />
watching the way the price acts after I begin.<br />
It is surprising how many experienced traders there are who look incredulous when I tell<br />
them that when I buy stocks for a rise I like to pay top prices and when I sell I must sell<br />
low or not at all. It would not be so difficult to make money if a trader always stuck to<br />
his speculative guns that is, waited for the line of least resistance to define itself and<br />
began buying only when the tape said up or selling only when it said down. He should<br />
accumulate his line on the way up. Let him buy one-fifth of his full line. If that does not<br />
show him a profit he must not increase his holdings because he has obviously begun<br />
wrong; he is wrong temporarily and there is no profit in being wrong at any time. The<br />
same tape that said UP did not necessarily lie merely because it is now saying NOT<br />
YET.<br />
In cotton I was very successful in my trading for a long time. I had my theory about it<br />
and I absolutely lived up to it. Suppose I had decided that my line would be forty to fifty<br />
thousand bales. Well, I would study the tape as I told you, watching for an opportunity<br />
either to buy or to sell. Suppose the line of least resistance indicated a bull movement.<br />
Well, I would buy ten thousand bales. After I got through buying that, if the market went<br />
up ten points over my initial purchase price, I would take on another ten thousand bales.<br />
Same thing. Then, if I could get twenty points' profit, or one dollar a bale, I would buy<br />
twenty thousand more. That would give me my line my basis for my trading. But if after<br />
buying the first ten or twenty thousand bales, it showed me a loss, out I'd go. I was<br />
wrong. It might be I was only temporarily wrong. But as I have said before it doesn't pay<br />
to start wrong in anything.<br />
What I accomplished by sticking to my system was that I always had a line of cotton in<br />
every real movement. In the course of accumulating my full line I might chip out fifty or<br />
sixty thousand dollars in these feeling-out plays of mine. This looks like a very<br />
expensive testing, but it wasn't. After the real movement started, how long would it take<br />
me to make up the fifty thousand dollars I had dropped in order to make sure that I<br />
began to load up at exactly the right time? No time at all! It always pays a man to be<br />
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