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Reminiscences of a Stock Operator<br />

themselves and save the fee. So they organized an inside pool. The bankers had a call on<br />

the Belle Isle holdings of 250,000 at 36. They put this in at 41. That is, insiders paid<br />

their own banking colleagues a 5-point profit to start with. I don't know whether they<br />

knew it or not.<br />

It is perfectly plain that to the bankers the operation had every semblance of a cinch. We<br />

had run into a bull market and the stocks of the group to which Guiana Gold belonged<br />

were among the market leaders. The company was making big profits and paying<br />

regular dividends. This together with the high character of the sponsors made the public<br />

regard Guiana almost as an investment stock. I was told that about 400,000 shares were<br />

sold to the public all the way up to 47.<br />

The gold group was very strong. But presently Guiana began to sag. It declined ten<br />

points. That was all right if the pool was marketing stock. But pretty soon the Street<br />

began to hear that things were not altogether satisfactory and the property was not<br />

bearing out the high expectations of the promoters. Then, of course, the reason for the<br />

decline became plain. But before the reason was known I had the warning and had taken<br />

steps to test the market for Guiana. The stock was acting pretty much as Chester Motors<br />

did. I sold Guiana. The price went down. I sold more. The price went still lower. The<br />

stock was repeating the performance of Chester and of a dozen other stocks whose<br />

clinical history I remembered. The tape plainly told me that there was something wrong<br />

something that kept insiders from buying it insiders who knew exactly why they should<br />

not buy their own stock in a bull market. On the other hand, outsiders, who did not<br />

know, were now buying because having sold at 45 and higher the stock looked cheap at<br />

35 and lower. The dividend was still being paid. The stock was a bargain.<br />

Then the news came. It reached me, as important market news often does, before it<br />

reached the public. But the confirmation of the reports of striking barren rock instead of<br />

rich ore merely gave me the reason for the earlier inside selling. I myself didn't sell on<br />

the news. I had sold long before, on the stock's behaviour. My concern with it was not<br />

philosophical. I am a trader and therefore looked for one sign : Inside buying. There<br />

wasn't any. I didn't have to know why the insiders did not think enough of their own<br />

stock to buy it on the decline. It was enough that their market plans plainly did not<br />

include further manipulation for the rise. That made it a cinch to sell the stock short. The<br />

public had bought almost a half million shares and the only change in ownership<br />

possible was from one set of ignorant outsiders who would sell in the hope of stopping<br />

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